MNF: Cincinnati Bengals vs Buffalo Bills 1/2/23 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Buffalo Bills (12-3) vs. Cincinnati Bengals (11-4)
January 2, 2023 8:30 pm EDT
The Line: Cincinnati Bengals +1.5 / Buffalo Bills -1.5; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills do battle in week 17 Monday Night Football NFL action at Paycor Stadium. The Buffalo Bills have won 6 straight games. The Cincinnati Bengals have won 7 straight games.

The Buffalo Bills have won 3 straight road games. Josh Allen is completing 63.4 percent of his passes for 4,029 yards, 32 touchdowns and 13 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have combined for 2,122 receiving yards and 17 touchdowns, while Dawson Knox has 46 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 142.8 yards per contest, and Devin Singletary leads the way with 790 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 17.5 points and 317.7 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 95 tackles, Von Miller has 8 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 4 interceptions.

The Cincinnati Bengals have won 5 straight home games. Joe Burrow is completing 69 percent of his passes for 4,260 yards, 34 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Tee Higgins and Ja’Marr Chase have combined for 1,982 receiving yards and 15 touchdowns, while Tyler Boyd has 53 receptions. The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 98.2 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 787 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 20.4 points and 332.3 yards per game. Logan Wilson leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 115 tackles, Sam Hubbard has 6.5 sacks and Vonn Bell has 4 interceptions.

The Bills are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games on fieldturf. The Bengals are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 home games and 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games overall. The under is 9-4 in Bills last 13 games overall. The under is 4-1 in Bengals last 5 games overall. The underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.

You can make a case for either side here, as these are the two hottest teams in the league. The difference for me is that the Bengals are at home, where they haven’t lost since opening week on September 11. The Bills offense also hasn’t been as explosive as it was earlier in the season, and it’s clear Allen is still pushing through his elbow issue. The Bengals defense has gotten better since their bye week and the offense is seventh in total offense, fifth in passing offense and sixth in scoring offense. The value is with the Bengals and the free points. Give me the home dog in a must-watch game.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +1.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA and is more than familiar with what it takes to navigate a 150 game college basketball Saturday and a 162 game MLB schedule. Randy has done it all. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter or catch him on the PickDawgz YouTube channel.

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