Arizona Cardinals vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers 12/25/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Arizona Cardinals meet Sunday in week 16 NFL action at State Farm Stadium. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have split their last 6 games. The Arizona Cardinals have lost 4 straight games.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have lost 4 straight road games. Tom Brady is completing 66 percent of his passes for 3,897 yards, 20 touchdowns and 7 interceptions. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have combined for 1,673 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Leonard Fournette has 59 receptions. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 74.3 yards per contest, and Fournette leads the way with 568 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 20.6 points and 314.7 yards per game. Devin White leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 106 tackles, Vita Vea has 6.5 sacks and Jamel Dean has 2 interceptions.

The Arizona Cardinals have lost 3 straight home games. Colt McCoy is completing 68.2 percent of his passes for 780 yards, 1 touchdown and 3 interceptions. DeAndre Hopkins and Marquise Brown have combined for 1,297 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Rondale Moore has 41 receptions. The Arizona Cardinals ground game is averaging 111.8 yards per contest, and James Conner leads the way with 624 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Arizona is allowing 26.6 points and 351.9 yards per game. Budda Baker leads the Arizona Cardinals with 102 tackles, J.J. Watt has 9.5 sacks and Isaiah Simmons has 2 interceptions.

The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games and 1-10-1 ATS in their last 12 games overall. The Cardinals are 3-10 ATS in their last 13 home games and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall. The under is 10-4 in Buccaneers last 14 games overall. The over is 7-1 in Cardinals last 8 games overall. The Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 meetings. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are the better team on paper, and they have more to play for as they’re still fighting for a division title somehow. However, I’m not laying a touchdown with the Bucs on the road, given the offense is absolutely dreadful and turns the ball over a lot as well. The Arizona Cardinals have nothing to play for, they’re going with a backup quarterback, and their defense is one of the worst in the league. Still, we’re getting a free touchdown with the home team against a seriously flawed Bucs team. I’ll take the points if forced to pick this rough Christmas game.