Washington Commanders (1-1) vs. Arizona Cardinals (1-2)
September 29, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Arizona Cardinals -3; Over/Under: +46
(Get latest betting odds)
The Washington Commanders and the Arizona Cardinals meet Sunday in NFL action from the University of Phoenix Stadium. Here’s an Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Cardinals vs Commanders pick.
Washington Commanders Betting Preview
The Commanders opened up the 2024 season with a tricky matchup versus the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Washington ended up falling in that one 37-20. Game two against the Giants was the Commanders’ first win of the year as they eked out a 21-18 home victory.
In Monday’s matchup versus the Bengals, the Commanders scored in every quarter—and gave up points in every quarter—during a wild 38-33 victory. QB Jayden Daniels threw for 254 yards and two scores on a nice 21-of-23 line while also notching a rush touchdown. Terry McLaurin caught four passes for 100 yards and a TD.
Arizona Cardinals Betting Preview
Over on the Cardinals’ side, they faced off against the Buffalo Bills in their first game. Arizona took a fairly close loss in that one, dropping it 34-28. The Cardinals also got their first win in week two, taking out the LA Rams 41-10 in blowout fashion.
Arizona saw the Detroit Lions in Week 3. In that one, the Cardinals faced a 10-point deficit by the break and couldn’t muster more than a field goal from there in a 20-13 defeat. QB Kyler Murray finished with 207 yards, one TD, and one interception while also leading the rush with five carries for 45 yards.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Cardinals’ last seven games at State Farm Stadium following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Each of the Commanders’ last six road games in September has gone OVER the total points line.
- Nine of the last 11 Sunday games at State Farm Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Arizona Cardinals Player Prop Facts
- James Conner has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Cardinals’ last four games against NFC East opponents.
- James Conner has scored at least one touchdown in eight of his last nine appearances following a home loss.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 239+ passing yards in 10 of his last 11 Sunday appearances with the Cardinals as home favorites.
- Elijah Higgins has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of the Cardinals’ last nine games.
- James Conner has recorded 77+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances following a home loss.
- Kyler Murray has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Cardinals’ last five games as favorites following a home loss.
- Kyler Murray has thrown three touchdowns in each of the Cardinals’ last two September games as home favorites.
- Marvin Harrison Jr. ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts
- Austin Ekeler has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four Week 4 appearances.
- Zach Ertz has recorded 21+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 September appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in 16 of his last 19 appearances following a win.
- Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four Week 4 appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 35+ rushing yards in nine of his last 10 September road appearances.
- Brian Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven Sunday road appearances.
- Jayden Daniels has the highest completion percentage in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (91.3% vs Bengals, Week 3).
Arizona Cardinals vs Washington Commanders Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Commanders in this one. Probably not touching it, though. Washington’s offense was pretty great against the Bengals on Monday, posting 356 total yards (248 passing), 6.2 yards per play, 22 first downs, and 8-of-12 on third- and fourth-down tries. The defense gave up a ton, though 436 yards (312 passing), 7.3 yards per play, and 30 first downs with zero takeaways.
As for Arizona, they weren’t awful on defense last weekend versus the Lions but did give up 50 percent on third-down tries and 23 first-downs total. Offensively the Cards were pretty ugly with 277 yards (200 passing), 23:11 in time of possession, and just 1-of-11 combined conversions on third and fourth down. Washington should be able to keep a cover pace here if all goes well.
