Bears vs Lions Prediction 9/14/25 NFL Picks Today
Bears vs Lions
September 14, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Lions -6 / Over/Under: 47.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Bears vs Lions Prediction for this NFL Week 2 game on Sunday, September 14th at the Ford Field. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Detroit Lions Preview
Detroit is coming off a 13-27 road defeat in Green Bay in their season opener last week. They covered the spread and the game went under the 48.5-point total. Detroit got outgained by their opponents by 266-246 yards. They had 31/39 completed passes, 200 passing yards, 46 rushing yards, with turnovers being 1-0. The Lions went 5-15 in third down efficiency and had 7-40 penalties.
Jared Goff had 31/39 passes, a team-high 225 passing yards, one touchdown but also threw one interception. David Montgomery added a team-high 25 rushing yards, while Sam LaPorta caught 6 passes for 79 yards. Defensively, Jack Campbell had 9 total tackles, five of them solo, while no Lions recorded a sack. No Lions interceptions.
Chicago Bears Preview
Chicago is coming off a 24-27 home defeat by Minnesota in their season opener last week. They failed to cover the spread and the game went over the 43.5-point total. Chicago outgained their opponents by 317-254 yards. They had 21/35 completed passes, 198 passing yards, 119 rushing yards, with turnovers being 0-1. The Bears went 3-12 in third down efficiency, they were 2-2 in the red zone, and had 12-127 penalties.
Caleb Williams had 21/35 passes, a team-high 198 passing yards, one touchdown and no interceptions. Caleb Williams added a team-high 58 rushing yards, while DJ Moore caught 6 passes for 82 yards. Defensively, Tremaine Edmunds had 10 total tackles, six of them solo, while Montez Sweat had one sack. Kyler Gordon had one interception for 18 yards. Bears vs Lions Prediction
Chicago Bears @ Detroit Lions Betting Trends: Week 2
Why the Detroit Lions will win
- The Bears have lost each of their last 11 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
- The Lions have won each of their last eight home games following a loss.
- The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games as favorites following a loss.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Lions have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games as favorites against NFC North opponents.
- The Bears have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Lions have won the first half in each of their last 12 Sunday games against teams that held a losing record.
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Lions have lost each of their last four Week 2 games as favorites.
- The underdogs have won each of the Lions’ last three Week 2 games.
- The Lions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Week 2 games as favorites.
- The Bears have covered the spread in six of their last seven games following a home loss.
- The Bears have won the first quarter in each of their last three September games as underdogs against NFC opponents.
- The Lions have lost the first half in three of their last four games.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven Week 2 games.
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Bears’ last eight September games as underdogs against NFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Lions’ last seven September games against NFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the last six games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.
Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored the first touchdown in three of the Lions’ last four games as favorites.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two or more touchdowns in each of the Lions’ last three home games.
- Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of the Lions’ last six games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- David Montgomery has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven September appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Jared Goff has recorded 255+ passing yards in seven of the Lions’ last eight home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- David Montgomery has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last eight regular season appearances.
- David Montgomery has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight regular season appearances with the Lions as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Jared Goff has recorded 26+ completions in five of the Lions’ last six regular season games.
- Heading into Week 2, Jahmyr Gibbs ranks T1st in the NFL in receptions (10) this season.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in each of his five previous September appearances at Ford Field.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last nine appearances at Ford Field.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 64+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last 11 games against NFC North opponents.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 27+ rushing yards in four of the Bears’ last five Sunday games.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 21+ completions in five of the Bears’ last six Sunday games as underdogs.
- Heading into Week 2, Colston Loveland ranks T1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (100.0%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 2, the Lions rank T1st in the NFL in 4th down attempts (4) this season.
- Heading into Week 2, the Lions rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (10.0) this season.
- Bears – two different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 2.
- Heading into Week 2, the Bears rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (100.0%) this season.
Bears vs Lions Prediction
Detroit won both meetings against Chicago last season. At home by 23-20 and on the road by 34-17. The Lions are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Bears, having won their last three meetings in Detroit, but Chicago is 4-3 against the spread in their last 7 meetings. Under is 5-3 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Bears vs Lions Prediction, the Lions are coming as -5-point home favorites, with the total set at 47.5 points. Chicago was terrible on the road last season, while Detroit was dominating at home with a 7-2 score and were very efficient in covering the spread, going for 12-6 against the spread. The Lions also dominate the Bears in their recent meetings both overall and in Chicago, and with this being Detroit’s home season opener, I like them even more to get away with the bounce back win and cover the spread at home.
