Bengals vs Lions Prediction 10/5/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Bengals vs Lions prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 5th at Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 5 matchup.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals are 2-2 this year after they lost to Denver by a score of 28-3 last week. Cincinnati led 3-0 in the first quarter, but they failed to score any more points in the blowout loss. The Bengals were out gained by a total of 512-159, went 2-11 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a margin of 1-0 in the game. Jake Browning went 14-25 for 125 yards, while Chase Brown rushed 10 times for 40 yards. Tee Higgins led the Cincinnati receivers with three receptions for 32 yards in the loss. The Bengals defense recorded zero sacks and just one tackle for loss in the game. 

In their first three games, Cincinnati defeated Cleveland and Jacksonville, but did lose to Minnesota in their third game. The Bengals are averaging 15.3 points per game with 155.3 passing yards and 50.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 29.8 points against per game this season. Jake Browning has completed 64.3% of his passes for 506 yards, three touchdowns, and five interceptions, while Ja’Marr Chase has 26 receptions for 264 yards and one touchdown. Chase Brown has led the rushing attack with 57 carries for 133 yards and one score this year. 

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 3-1 this season after they defeated Cleveland by a score of 34-10 in their last game. Detroit trailed 7-0 in the first quarter, but scored 34 of the last 37 points in the easy victory. The Lions out gained Cleveland by a total of 277-249, went 6-14 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Jared Goff went 16-27 for 168 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Jahmyr Gibbs rushed 15 times for 91 yards and one score. Amon-Ra St. Brown had seven receptions for 70 yards and two touchdowns in the win. The Detroit defense recorded three sacks and four tackles for loss in the game. 

In their first three games, Detroit lost to Green Bay, but did beat Chicago and Baltimore after that. The Lions are averaging 34.3 points per game with 226.0 passing yards and 139.0 rushing yards per game, while they are allowing 22.0 points against per game this season. Jared Goff has completed 73.8% of his passes for 929 yards, nine touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 27 passes for 307 yards and six scores. Jahmyr Gibbs has led the rushing attack with 58 carries for 271 yards and four touchdowns this season. 

Why the Lions will beat the Bengals

• The favorites have won each of the Bengals’ last nine games.
• The Bengals have lost each of their last seven games as underdogs.
• The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last 14 road games following a home win.
• The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The road team has won the first quarter in five of the last six games between the Lions and Bengals.
• The Lions have scored the first touchdown in 19 of their last 22 games following a home win.
• The Lions have won the first half in each of their last seven games as road favorites following a home win.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Bengals’ last nine games as underdogs following a road loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday games at Paycor Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Four of the Lions’ last five games in October have gone OVER the total points line.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

• Ja’Marr Chase has scored two touchdowns in three of the Bengals’ last four games against teams on a winning streak.
• Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five home appearances.
• Jake Browning has recorded 227+ passing yards in three of his four previous home appearances as a starter.
• Ja’Marr Chase has recorded 77+ receiving yards in each of the Bengals’ last seven regular season games as home underdogs.
• Samaje Perine has recorded 17+ rushing yards in each of his last five Sunday appearances with the Bengals as underdogs.
• Samaje Perine has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in 12 of his last 13 regular season appearances against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 5, Jake Browning has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Jaguars, Week 2).

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in four of his last five October appearances with his team as a favorite.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two touchdowns in four of the Lions’ last five games following a home win.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last eight games as favorites.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 63+ rushing yards in each of the Lions’ last nine games as road favorites.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 97+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last 11 games against AFC opponents.
• Jared Goff has recorded 257+ passing yards in 12 of the Lions’ last 13 games as favorites following a home win.
• Kalif Raymond has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last 11 October games.
• Jared Goff has recorded 21+ completions in 10 of the Lions’ last 11 games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 5, Amon-Ra St. Brown ranks 1st in the NFL in touchdowns (6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 5, the Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (205.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (50.0) this season.
• Lions – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Lions – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.

Bengals vs Lions Prediction 

These two teams come into this matchup trending in opposite directions, but Cincinnati will have the home field advantage. The Bengals have been outscored 76-13 in their last two games and they have been bad without Burrow. Detroit has won three games in a row and they have scored 34, 38, and 52 points in those three victories. The Lions have a questionable defense, but I don’t think the Bengals are good enough with Browning to exploit it. I expect the Lions to take care of business once again in this matchup and there is no way we can back the Bengals here. Take Detroit to cover this big number. 

David Racey is 15-3 (83%) in the NFL over the last two weeks and he has been red hot this season. Click here for his premium plays for this week!