Bengals vs Steelers Prediction 10/16/25 NFL Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Steelers and Cincinnati Bengals meet Thursday in NFL action at Paycor Stadium. Here’s a Bengals vs Steelers Prediction. This article will include a Bengals vs Steelers Pick.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers beat the Vikings and Browns, and they play the Packers next. The Pittsburgh Steelers have won 4 of their last 5 games. Aaron Rodgers is completing 6.88 percent of his passes for 1,021 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. DK Metcalf and Jaylen Warren have combined for 509 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Calvin Austin III has 10 receptions.

The Pittsburgh Steelers ground game is averaging 84 yards per contest, and Jaylen Warren leads the way with 184 yards on 54 carries. Defensively, Pittsburgh is allowing 21.4 points and 355.6 yards per game. Patrick Queen leads the Pittsburgh Steelers with 44 tackles, Nick Herbig has 4.5 sacks and T.J. Watt has 1 interception.

Cincinnati Bengals Betting Preview

The Cincinnati Bengals lost to the Lions and Packers, and they play the Jets next. The Cincinnati Bengals have won 7 of their last 11 games. Joe Flacco is completing 64.4 percent of his passes for 219 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins have combined for 688 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Andrei Iosivas has 8 receptions.

The Cincinnati Bengals ground game is averaging 56.7 yards per contest, and Chase Brown leads the way with 202 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Cincinnati is allowing 30.5 points and 394.2 yards per game. Demetrius Knight Jr. leads the Cincinnati Bengals with 46 tackles, Trey Hendrickson has 4 sacks and Jordan Battle has 2 interceptions.

Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win

• The Steelers have lost eight of their last nine Thursday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bengals have won seven of their last eight home games against AFC opponents on a winning streak.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Thursday road games.
• The Bengals have covered the spread in each of their last four Week 7 games.
• The Bengals have won the first half in five of their last six games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• The Bengals have won the first quarter in each of their last six games against AFC North opponents.
• The Bengals have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games against AFC North opponents.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won each of their last 11 October games against the Bengals.
• The Bengals have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in each of their last eight October games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs following a road loss.
• The Steelers have won the first quarter in each of their last three games.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last six October games as favorites against AFC North opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Bengals’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the Steelers’ last nine October games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the last five games between AFC North teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

• Ja’Marr Chase has scored two touchdowns in four of the Bengals’ last five games against teams on a winning streak.
• Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six home appearances.
• Chase Brown has recorded 46+ rushing yards in each of the Bengals’ last six home games against AFC opponents.
• Joe Flacco has recorded 262+ passing yards in 10 of his last 11 home appearances as a starter.
• Ja’Marr Chase has recorded 77+ receiving yards in each of the Bengals’ last eight regular season games as home underdogs.
• Joe Flacco has recorded 25+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC North opponents.
• Chase Brown has recorded 65+ rushing and receiving yards in nine of his last 10 appearances against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 7, Ryan Rehkow ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (53.0) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• Jonnu Smith has scored a touchdown in four of his last five road appearances.
• Pat Freiermuth has recorded 16+ receiving yards in 14 of the Steelers’ last 15 regular season road games.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances against division opponents.
• Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Bengals rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (56.7) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Bengals rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (1644) this season.
• Steelers – 11 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
• Steelers – three different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.

Bengals vs Steelers Prediction

The Steelers are finding ways to win, but they haven’t been all that impressive, as the offense is still limited and the defense can give up big plays. I’m not excited to lay points with the Steelers on the road with a short week. The Bengals are awful defensively, but there’s still talent offensively and there’s some stability at quarterback with Flacco.

This is also a division game where teams know each other well, and the underdog has covered 7 of the last 10 games. The Bengals are also 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games where they’ve been an underdog of 3 or more points. Four of those covers were outright wins. We’re getting a hook on top of a key number. Give me the points with the Bengals.