Bills vs Jets Prediction 1/4/26 NFL Picks Today

The New York Jets and Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action at Highmark Stadium. Here’s a Bills vs Jets Prediction. This article will include a Bills vs Jets Pick.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets lost to the Saints and Patriots. The New York Jets have lost 4 straight games. Brady Cook is completing 58.8 percent of his passes for 679 yards, 1 touchdown, and 7 interceptions. Garrett Wilson and Mason Taylor have combined for 754 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Breece Hall has 36 receptions.

The New York Jets ground game is averaging 126.7 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 1,065 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 29.3 points and 348.4 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 147 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 8 sacks and Brandon Stephens has 9 pass deflections.

Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bills beat the Browns and lost to the Eagles. The Bills have won 7 of their last 10 games. Josh Allen is completing 69.3 percent of his passes for 3,668 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid have combined for 1,242 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Dawson Knox has 34 receptions.

The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 156.4 yards per contest, and James Cook leads the way with 1,606 yards and 12 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 22.3 points and 303.8 yards per game. Cole Bishop leads the Buffalo Bills with 85 tackles, Greg Rousseau has 7 sacks and Maxwell Hairston has 2 interceptions.

Why the Buffalo Bills will win

• The Bills have won each of their last 16 home games against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Jets have lost each of their last 12 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
• The Bills have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Bills have won the first half in each of their last nine games against the Jets.
• The Jets have lost the first quarter in eight of their last nine games against AFC East opponents.
• The Bills have scored the first touchdown in each of their last nine games against the Jets.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Bills have lost each of their last two games as favorites without Gregory Rousseau.
• The road team has won four of the Bills’ last five games.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in eight of the Bills’ last nine games at Highmark Stadium.
• The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Bills have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games as favorites against AFC East opponents.
• The Bills have lost the first half in each of their last two games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Jets’ last six road games following a home loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Five of the last six Sunday games between the Jets and Bills have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Four of the last five games between teams from the same division have gone UNDER the total points line.

Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts

• Khalil Shakir has scored a touchdown in each of the Bills’ last three home games against teams that held a losing record.
• Khalil Shakir has recorded 45+ receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last four games against AFC East opponents.
• Brandin Cooks has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three January appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Maxwell Hairston has two interceptions through his first five career games – most by any player since Tariq Woolen, (2022).

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Johnson has scored a touchdown in each of his last two January appearances.
• John Metchie has recorded 34+ receiving yards in four of the Jets’ last five games against AFC opponents.
• Brady Cook has recorded 19+ completions in each of the Jets’ last three games.
• Heading into Week 18, Isaiah Williams ranks 2nd in the AFC for punt return yards (396) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Bills – nine different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Bills – six different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Jets – 16 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.

Bills vs Jets Prediction

The Bills have a chance to move out of the seventh seed with a win, so this game isn’t completely meaningless. Still, the Bills will be on the road regardless these playoffs, so they shouldn’t be killing themselves here. Still, the Jets are awful, awful. The Jets are 0-4 SU and ATS in their last 4 games, and they’ve lost those games by an average of 26.7 points.

No matter the effort from the Bills and if they sit players or not, the Jets are in full tank mode and getting destroyed at both ends of the ball. The Bills are 4-0 SU and ATS in the last 4 games against the Jets, and have won those games by an average of 18.7 points. Give me the Bills by double digits.