
Bills vs Ravens Prediction 1/19/25 NFL Picks Today
Baltimore Ravens (12-5) vs. Buffalo Bills (13-4)
January 19, 2025 6:30 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills +1; Over/Under: 51.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Bills vs Ravens Prediction for this NFL Wild Card game on Sunday, January 19th at Highmark Stadium. The winner of this game will face the Texans or Chiefs in the AFC Championship game. Let’s take a look at a Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens pick.
Ravens Have Confidence
There wasn’t much doubt from many about what the Baltimore Ravens would be able to do against the Pittsburgh Steelers and they lived right up to the expectations. At halftime, they were up 21-0, and although they took their foot off the gas and gave up 14 points in the third quarter, they were still able to cruise. Lamar Jackson completed 16 of his 21 passes for 175 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Derrick Henry had a huge game finishing with 26 carries for 186 yards and two touchdowns. He has been an X-factor all season, and in this game, they are going to need him to be quite impressive.
The Ravens are averaging 30.5 points while their defense is giving up 21.2 points per game. The offense is ranked 3rd in the NFL while the defense is ranked 9th. The Ravens currently sit with a 13-5 record and they have gone 11-6-1 against the spread. On the season, Lamar Jackson has thrown for 4,172 yards, 41 touchdowns, and four interceptions. Zay Flowers hurt his knee in the last game and is questionable for this game.
Why the Ravens Will Beat the Bills
- The Ravens have won nine of their last 10 games following a Division game.
- The Bills have lost each of their last three Divisional Round games.
- The Ravens have covered the spread in seven of their last eight postseason road games against AFC opponents.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs following a win.
- The Bills have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
- The Bills have lost the first half in 12 of their last 14 games as underdogs against AFC North opponents.
Bills Dominated
The Bills dominated the last game in Wild Card Weekend against the Denver Broncos. The Bills scored 31 points against Denver while the defense gave up seven points. They gave up a touchdown on the first drive of the game, but after the scripted plays were done, it was a dominant win for Buffalo. Josh Allen completed 20 of his 26 passes for 272 yards and two touchdowns. Runningback James Cook also put on quite a show finishing with 23 carries for 120 yards and a touchdown. Curtis Samuel also finished with three catches for 68 yards and a touchdown. Josh Allen has done a good job of spreading the ball around, but one of the most impressive parts of the offense has been the running of James Cook.
The Bills are averaging 30.9 points while their defense is giving up 21.6 points per game. The offense is ranked 2nd while the defense is ranked 11th. The two problems for the defense have been the run game and getting off the field on third down. Both are going to need to happen here to find success. Ray Davis is dealing with a concussion and it’s unclear if he’s going to be able to go in this game.
Total Points Facts
- Twelve of the Bills’ last 14 games against AFC North opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Five of the Ravens’ last six road games against AFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Bills vs Ravens Prediction
Give the Ravens here. Yes the Bills are at home but their run defense has been a major problem all season and it’s going to be the same here. The Bills defense has no one to slowdown Derrick Henry and that will be the difference here. The Bills offense is good, and they will score some here, but they aren’t