Browns vs Bears Prediction 12/14/25 NFL Picks Today
Cleveland Browns (3-10) vs. Chicago Bears (9-4)
December 14, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Bears -7.5; Over/Under: 40.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Browns vs Bears Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Sunday, December 14th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.
Chicago Bears Preview
The Chicago Bears have a 9-4 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC North. They are 8-4 ATS, 7-6 in Over/Under and have a 5-1 home record and a 4-3 away record. The Bears are coming off a 21-28 away loss against the Green Bay Packers and will face the Packers, 49ers and Lions next.
Offensively, the Bears average 25.7 points per game, ranking 8th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 25.8 points per game, which is 25th. Chicago averages 369.7 total yards per game (217.1 passing and 152.6 rushing), while allowing 357.3 total yards per game (132.5 rushing and 224.8 passing).
Caleb Williams leads the Bears with 2908 passing yards with 57.8% completed passes and 19 touchdowns. D’Andre Swift leads the team in rushing yards with 837, while Rome Odunze has a team-high 44 receptions for 661 receiving yards, and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Tremaine Edmunds has a team-high 89 total tackles (46 of them solo), while Montez Sweat leads the team in sacks, with 8.5, while Kevin Byard leads the team with 6 interceptions.
Cleveland Browns Preview
The Cleveland Browns have a 3-10 record this season and are sitting fourth in the AFC North. They are 5-8 ATS, 7-6 in Over/Under and have a 2-5 home record and a 1-5 away record. The Browns are coming off a 29-31 home loss against the Tennessee Titans and will face the Bills, Steelers and Bengals next.
Offensively, the Browns average 17.2 points per game, ranking 29th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.2 points per game, which is 17th. Cleveland averages 269.8 total yards per game (174.2 passing and 95.6 rushing), while allowing 272.8 total yards per game (107.7 rushing and 165.2 passing).
Dillon Gabriel leads the Browns with 937 passing yards with 59.5% completed passes and 7 touchdowns. Quinshon Judkins leads the team in rushing yards with 784, while Harold Fannin has a team-high 59 receptions for 619 receiving yards, and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Carson Schwesinger has a team-high 119 total tackles (55 of them solo), while Myles Garrett leads the team in sacks, with 20.
Cleveland Browns @ Chicago Bears Betting Trends: Week 15
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Browns have lost each of their last eight road games without Cedric Tillman.
- The home team has won 10 of the last 11 games between the Browns and Bears.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games as underdogs without Cedric Tillman.
- The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
- The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last five December road games against NFC opponents.
- The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last 10 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in each of their last five home games.
Why the Cleveland Browns will win
- The Bears have lost nine of their last 10 games without Jaquan Brisker.
- The Browns have won each of their last two games as underdogs without Dillon Gabriel.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against starting rookie QBs.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in four of the Browns’ last five games.
- The Browns have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five road games.
- The Bears have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games as favorites following a loss.
- The Bears have lost the first half in eight of their last nine games against AFC opponents.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Browns’ eight previous road games without Isaiah McGuire have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Bears’ last eight Week 15 games have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Three of the last four Sunday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- Caleb Williams has recorded 212+ passing yards in each of the Bears’ last four games against AFC opponents.
- Rome Odunze has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Bears’ last six day games against teams on a losing streak.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last nine home games.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 52+ rushing yards in each of his four previous Week 15 appearances.
- D.J. Moore has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last six Week 15 appearances.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 19+ completions in seven of the Bears’ last eight games against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 15, Kevin Byard ranks 1st in the NFL in interceptions (6) this season.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- David Njoku has scored at least one touchdown in six of his last eight December appearances.
- David Njoku has recorded 17+ receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last six December road games.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 25+ rushing yards in seven of his eight previous December road appearances.
- Quinshon Judkins has recorded 95+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last four games against NFC opponents.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 276+ passing yards in each of his last three December appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Deshaun Watson has recorded 26+ completions in each of his last three December appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Heading into Week 15, Myles Garrett ranks 1st in the NFL in sacks (20.0) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bears – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.
- Bears – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 15.
- Heading into Week 15, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game (165.2) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (3270) this season.
Browns vs Bears Prediction
In this Browns vs Bears Prediction, the Bears are coming as -7.5-point home favorites. The Bears have been the far better team this season, having three times as many wins as the Browns have and have been almost perfect at home. They are coming into this matchup red-hot, with a 9-2 record in their last 11 games and 8-2-1 against the spread. On the flip side, the Browns have been bad throughout the season and terrible on the road with just one win. They are also 2-4 against the spread in their last 6 games and have the 4th-worst offense in the league, compared to Chicago’s 8th-best. I expect the hosts to get the job done comfortably today, so take the Bears and lay the -7.5 at home.