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Buffalo Bills vs Cleveland Browns 11/20/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Cleveland Browns (3-6) vs. Buffalo Bills (6-3)
November 20, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills -8.5 / Cleveland Browns +8.5; Over/Under: +44
(Get latest betting odds)

The Buffalo Bills and Cleveland Browns do battle Sunday in a week 11 NFL showdown at Highmark Stadium. The Cleveland Browns have lost 5 of their last 6 games. The Buffalo Bills look to build on their 6-3 record.

The Cleveland Browns have lost 3 straight road games. Jacoby Brissett is completing 63.8 percent of his passes for 2,074 yards, 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. Amari Cooper and Donovan Peoples-Jones have combined for 1,101 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while David Njoku has 34 receptions. The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 158.8 yards per contest, and Nick Chubb leads the way with 904 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 26.4 points and 349.1 yards per game. Grant Delpit leads the Cleveland Browns with 58 tackles, Myles Garrett has 7.5 sacks and Denzel Ward has 1 interception.

The Buffalo Bills have won 3 of their last 4 home games. Josh Allen is completing 64.5 percent of his passes for 2,733 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have combined for 1,529 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Dawson Knox has 24 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 129.9 yards per contest, and Allen leads the way with 476 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 16.8 points and 319.8 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 65 tackles, Von Miller has 8 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 4 interceptions.

The Browns are 16-34-2 ATS in their last 52 games in November and 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. AFC. The Bills are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and 10-2-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The over is 6-2-1 in Browns last 9 games overall. The under is 6-1 in Bills last 7 games overall. The Browns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings. The favorite is 5-0-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.

The Buffalo Bills are the better team here and should be favored, but this is a lot of points. Josh Allen has been a little careless with the ball lately, and he’s still dealing with a banged up throwing arm. Also, while the record isn’t pretty, the Cleveland Browns are still one of the more talented rosters in the league. The Browns have a lot of quality players, and it makes them a tricky matchup most weeks, despite the losses. Lot of points. Give me the Browns.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Cleveland Browns +8.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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