The Jacksonville Jaguars and the Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action from the Northumberland Development Project in London. Jacksonville is fresh off a matchup at Wembley Stadium versus the Falcons, eventually taking a 16-point victory. As for Buffalo, they played the rival Dolphins last weekend. In that one the Bills secured a blowout win. Check back all season long for free NFL picks at Sports Chat Place. 

Jacksonville Jaguars 

The Jaguars kicked off their 2023 season with a matchup versus the Colts and powered out a 31-21 win to start on the right foot. The next pair of games didn’t go so well for Jacksonville, however. The Jaguars lost 17-9 to the Chiefs the next weekend, then fell 37-17 versus the Texans in a rough outing. 

Jacksonville had to go all the way to London to get back into the win column in game four. The Jaguars were up 17-0 at the break and cruised to a nice 23-7 victory at Wembley Stadium. QB Trevor Lawrence put up 207 yards with a TD, and Christian Kirk led the receivers on 84 yards off eight catches. Travis Etienne added 55 rush yards as well. 

Jacksonville Jaguars Team Facts

The Jaguars have won each of their last four Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
The Jaguars have covered the spread in each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
The Jaguars have won the first quarter in each of their last six games in October.
The Jaguars have lost the first half in 18 of their last 20 games as underdogs following a win.
Each of the Jaguars’ last five games at neutral venues have gone UNDER the total points line.

Buffalo Bills 

Over on the Buffalo side, they played a wild game versus the Jets in their opener and ended up losing in dramatic fashion 22-16 in overtime. The Bills got back into the groove with victories in their next two games, though. Those came 38-10 versus the Bills, then 37-3 over the Commanders in game three. 

Last weekend versus the Dolphins, the Bills kept their win streak going with a big effort against a division rival. Buffalo scored double-digit points in each of the first three quarters during a 48-20 blowout. QB Josh Allen put up 320 yards with four touchdowns, while Stefon Diggs corralled six passes for 120 yards and three scores. Gabe Davis had the other TD catch. 

Buffalo Bills Team Facts

The Bills have won each of their last six games in October.
The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the last five games between the Jaguars and Bills.
The Bills have won the first half in each of their last four games as favorites.
The Bills have won the first quarter in seven of their last nine games in October.
The Bills have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 5 games.

Matchup/League Facts

The Bills rank T1st in the NFL in sacks this season (16.0)
The Bills rank 1st in the NFL in interceptions this season (8)
The Jaguars rank 2nd in the NFL in fumbles recovered this season (5)
The Jaguars rank T31st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game this season (8.8)

ANDREW’S FREE PICK 

I’ve got to stay with the Bills here. Buffalo seems to have shaken off the opener win against the flailing Jets, and they’re looking good on both sides of the ball. In the win over Miami, the Bills had 414 yards of offense (310 passing), 24 first downs and zero turnovers. The defense gave up 393 yards on the other side, but also had two takeaways and allowed just three of 10 third-down conversions. If Buffalo plays like that again this weekend, they’ll roll. 

As for Jacksonville, they’re coming off a pretty solid outing versus the Falcons and may give Buffalo a bit of trouble. The Jaguars produced just 16 first downs and a 5-of-14 success rate on third-down tries, but also took care of the ball well with zero turnovers and 32:51 in time of possession. It’ll be interesting to see how the Jaguars do here, but I don’t quite think they’ll keep up.