The New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action from Bills Stadium. New York is 4-5 overall this year so far. The Jets are coming off a Sunday evening loss to the Raiders. As for the Bills, they played the Broncos on Monday. In that matchup Buffalo dropped to 5-5 on the season with a tough loss. Check back all season long for free NFL picks at Sports Chat Place.
New York Jets
The Jets have been struggling all season following the game-one injury to QB Aaron Rodgers. In his absence New York has averaged a downright ugly 16.0 points per game with five passing TDs and six picks alongside three rushing touchdowns and 103.9 yards per game on the ground. The good news is that the defense is still good, averaging 19.1 points per game allowed.
In their latest futile effort Sunday evening versus the Raiders, the Jets held a 9-6 edge going into the third quarter. New York could only muster a field goal from there however, and lost it 16-12. QB Zach Wilson had 263 yards and a pick while also leading the rush on 54 yards. Tops in receiving was Garrett Wilson with 93 yards off nine catches.
New York Jets Team Facts
- The Jets have lost each of their last nine road games against AFC East opponents.
- The Jets have failed to cover the spread in five of their last six road games.
- The favorites have won the first quarter in each of the Jets' last nine games.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Jets' last nine games.
- Each of the Jets' last seven games against AFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
Over on the Bills’ side, they were able to win five of their first nine games this year on the strength of a good defense. Buffalo allowed just 17.8 points per game in that stretch, while scoring 26.7 points per game themselves. The Bills managed 18 passing touchdowns (and nine interceptions) alongside 10 rush scores (and 108.1 yards per game) in those nine outings.
Matched up against the Broncos on Monday, the Bills came back from a 15-8 halftime deficit but ultimately fell short in a messy 24-22 loss. Josh Allen threw for just 86 yards, one TD and two picks. Dalton Kincaid added 35 yards with a TD on three catches, and Latavius Murray had 54 rush yards.
Buffalo Bills Team Facts
- The Bills have won each of their last seven home games against AFC East opponents.
- The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
- The favorites have won the first half in nine of the last 10 games between the Jets and Bills.
- The Bills have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven home games against AFC East opponents.
- The Bills have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Bills rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game this season (9.8).
- The Bills rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game this season (1.2).
- The Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in 3rd down percentage this season (25.0%).
- The Jets rank 32nd in the NFL in red zone percentage this season (22.7%).
ANDREW’S FREE PICK
I’m going to stay with the Bills, even with the tough loss on Monday. Probably not going near it, though. The last time these teams met up was on the opening weekend in a shocking 22-16 overtime loss that featured an insane return-TD finish. Buffalo should be better prepared this time, even with the lost day this week. That said, the Bills offense doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence after four turnovers, 369 yards and just 22:39 in time of possession on Monday. Buffalo was still in a position to win late, however—and would have if not for a bad penalty.
As for New York, they’ve scored 13 points or fewer in each of the last three games as the offense continues to struggle. The ineptitude on that side of the ball means the season is probably a lost cause at this point, but the defense should give the Bills a bit of a struggle in this rematch. Without the scoring to complement it however, the Jets seem doomed to spin their wheels. This one’s probably going to be a mess on both sides; neither team looks good right now.