NY Jets (4-11) vs. Buffalo Bills (12-3)
December 29, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Buffalo Bills -10.5; Over/Under: +44.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The New York Jets and the Buffalo Bills meet Sunday in NFL action from Highmark Stadium. Here’s a Buffalo Bills vs NY Jets Prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bills vs Jets pick.
New York Jets Betting Preview
The Jets have had yet another forgettable season this year, and they’re just counting down the days at this point. New York went just 3-8 ahead of their bye week, then fell to the Seahawks and Dolphins before their fourth win of the year over the Jaguars.
On Sunday versus the Rams, the Jets took yet another loss. New York were up 9-6 going into the final quarter, then gave up 13 unanswered points in a 19-9 loss. QB Aaron Rodgers finished with 256 yards and a TD. Breece Hall led the rush with 52 yards on 14 carries and Davante Adams had seven grabs for 68 yards and the touchdown.
Buffalo Bills Betting Preview
Over on the Bills’ side, they cruised through their first 11 games before the bye on a 9-2 run. Buffalo’s only blemishes were versus the Ravens and Texans. The Bills came back with wins over the 49ers and Lions around a loss to the Rams after the open week.
Matched up against the Patriots this past weekend, Buffalo was down 14-7 by the break. The Bills got better from there on a 17-7 run and took the victory 24-21 in the end, though. Josh Allen had 154 yards with one TD and one interception. James Cook led both the rush (100 yards; TD) and the receivers (26 yards; TD).
Total Points Facts
- Seven of the Bills’ last eight home games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
- Seven of the Jets’ last eight games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
- Five of the last six games between AFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
- James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in five of the Bills’ last six games.
- Josh Allen has recorded 39+ rushing yards in six of the Bills’ last seven December games as home favorites against AFC East opponents.
- Josh Allen has scored the last touchdown in three of the Bills’ last four Sunday games as favorites.
- Josh Allen has recorded 239+ passing yards in three of the Bills’ last four home games against the Jets.
- Dawson Knox has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of his last seven appearances against the Jets.
- Josh Allen has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Bills’ last four games.
- James Cook has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in four of the Bills’ last five games as favorites following a home win.
- Josh Allen has recorded 21+ completions in six of the Bills’ last seven home games against AFC opponents.
- Josh Allen has thrown three or more touchdowns in six of the Bills’ last eight home games against AFC East opponents.
- Heading into Week 17, James Cook ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (16) this season.
New York Jets Player Prop Facts
- Davante Adams has scored a touchdown in each of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog on the East Coast.
- Breece Hall has recorded 54+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 244+ passing yards in each of the Jets’ last four games as underdogs.
- Tyler Conklin has recorded 32+ receiving yards in each of his last five December appearances.
- Breece Hall has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last four appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Aaron Rodgers has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last six December appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Aaron Rodgers has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last five Week 17 road appearances.
- Heading into Week 17, Jamien Sherwood has recorded the most solo tackles in a single game this season (13 vs Dolphins, Week 14).
Buffalo Bills vs New York Jets Prediction
I’ll stay with the Bills. Buffalo could use a better performance here following their tepid game against a bad Patriots team, though. The Bills gave up 379 yards and 28 first downs in that one but did post a trio of takeaways (two fumbles). The offense was pretty bland as well with 324 total yards (152 passing) and 19 first downs. The 24 points were Buffalo’s lowest total since way back on October 14 (23) coincidentally in a three-point win over the Jets.
Speaking of New York, they’re just counting the days until they can break out the golf clubs and coming off another double-digit loss. The Jets did okay in the first half and held LA to just 242 total yards with 17 first downs total. After halftime was another story, though. New York has scored 21 or more points in four of their last five (a 1-4 run) so Buffalo’s defense has their work cut out for them here. So long as the offense comes along for the ride, I think the Bills will be okay.
