Buffalo Bills vs Pittsburgh Steelers prediction 1-15-24 NFL Picks

The Pittsburgh Steelers will play the Buffalo Bills on Monday afternoon in the AFC Wild Card Round at Highmark Stadium in Orchard Park, New York. Pittsburgh comes into this game on a three game winning streak, while Buffalo has won five games in a row. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Steelers vs Bills prediction.

Steelers Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers are 10-7 this season and they finished third in the AFC North, but they were able to sneak into the playoffs once again. The Steelers finished the season by defeating Baltimore, Seattle, and Cincinnati, and they were 5-3 on the road. It definitely wasn’t pretty, but the Steelers were able to find success with Coach Tomlin leading the team. The Steelers offense is scoring 17.9 points per game with 186.1 passing yards per game and 118.2 rushing yards per game. Mason Rudolph has thrown for 719 yards, three touchdowns, and 0 interceptions for the Steelers this season. Najee Harris has rushed for 1,035 yards and eight scores, while George Pickens has caught 63 passes for 1,140 yards and five touchdowns. The Pittsburgh defense is allowing 19.1 points against per game this year.

Bills Preview

The Buffalo Bills are 11-6 this season and they were able to finish in first place of the AFC East after defeating Miami on Sunday night. The Bills started the season playing very poorly and they were only 5-5 on the season, but they got hot at the right time and won six of their last seven games. Buffalo finished the regular season by beating Miami, New England, Los Angeles (A), Dallas, and Kansas City. The Buffalo offense is averaging 26.5 points per game with 244.4 passing yards per game and 130.1 rushing yards pre game. Josh Allen has thrown for 4,306 yards, 29 touchdowns, and 18 interceptions for the Bills this season. James Cook has rushed for 1,122 yards and two touchdowns, while Stefon Diggs has caught 107 passes for 1,183 yards and eight scores. The Buffalo defense is giving up 18.3 points against per game this season.

Buffalo Bills Team Facts

The Bills have won each of their last nine games at Highmark Stadium following a road win.
The Bills have covered the spread in four of their last five home games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
The Bills have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four Wild Card Round games.
The Bills have won the first half in eight of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
The Bills have won the first quarter in each of their last two home games against teams that held a winning record.

Pittsburgh Steelers Team Facts

The Steelers have won each of their last six road games following a Division game.
The Steelers have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games played on the East Coast.
The Steelers have lost the first half in each of their last six games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
The Steelers have lost the first quarter in each of their last six games against AFC East opponents.
The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in three of their last four games played on the East Coast.

Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts

Latavius Murray has recorded 39+ rushing yards in each of his last four January appearances against AFC opponents.
Ty Johnson has recorded 22+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five Sunday appearances with his team as a home favorite.
Dawson Knox has scored the first touchdown in each of the Bills’ last three Wild Card Round games at Highmark Stadium.
Josh Allen has recorded 254+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last six January games against AFC opponents.
Dawson Knox has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances with the Bills as favorites against AFC North opponents.
Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in eight of the Bills’ last nine games as favorites following a win.
Josh Allen has recorded 23+ completions in eight of the Bills’ last 10 January games against AFC opponents.
Josh Allen has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of the Bills’ last four postseason games.
Stefon Diggs is just one away from 5 career playoff touchdowns.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

Allen Robinson II has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his 21 previous appearances with his team as an underdog on the East Coast.
Jaylen Warren has recorded 49+ rushing yards in each of the Steelers’ last five Sunday games.
Najee Harris has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last four Sunday games played on the East Coast.
Najee Harris has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Steelers’ last three games.
George Pickens ranked 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (18.1) during the reg. season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Bills were one of only two teams in the NFL to ranked top 5 for both interceptions and sacks during the reg. season.
The Bills ranked 31st in the NFL in total punt yards during the reg. season (2334).
The Steelers ranked 31st in the NFL in average yards per punt during the reg. season (44.0).
The Steelers ranked T3rd in the NFL in H2 opponent points per game during the reg. season (7.6).

Steelers vs Bills Betting Prediction

Buffalo comes into the playoffs has one of the hottest teams in the NFL and they are taking on a Pittsburgh team that really struggled at times this season. The Steelers snuck into the playoffs as the last seed in the AFC, but they have one of the best head coaches in the NFL in my opinion. Buffalo did win the AFC East and they went 7-2 at home this season. It is tough to look at this matchup and see many positives for the Steelers, but the Bills have only won by 10 points in two of their last 13 games. Buffalo is also prone to turnovers, which will be key for Pittsburgh if they want to keep this game close. This is a tough game to call because of the large spread, but I am going to take the Steelers. Pittsburgh has the coaching advantage and Buffalo has been shaky with the football. Take the Steelers with the points.