NFL Picks

Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction 11/3/25 NFL Picks Today

Cardinals vs Cowboys
November 3, 2025 7:15 pm EDT
The Line: Cowboys -2.5 / Over/Under: 54
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction for this NFL Week 9 game on Monday, November 3rd. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Dallas Cowboys Preview

The Dallas Cowboys have a 3-4-1 record this season and are sitting second in the NFC East. They are 4-4 ATS, 6-2 in Over/Under and have a 2-0 home record and a 1-4 away record. The Cowboys are coming off a 24-44 away loss against the Denver Broncos and will face the Raiders, Eagles and Chiefs next.

Offensively, the Cowboys average 30.8 points per game, ranking 2nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 31.3 points per game, which is 31st. Dallas averages 384.1 total yards per game (263.8 passing and 120.4 rushing), while allowing 404.6 total yards per game (146.0 rushing and 258.6 passing).

Dak Prescott leads the Cowboys with 2069 passing yards with 70.3% completed passes and 16 touchdowns. Javonte Williams leads the team in rushing yards with 633, while George Pickens has a team-high 43 receptions for 685 receiving yards, and six touchdowns. Defensively, Kenneth Murray has a team-high 58 total tackles (30 of them solo), while James Houston leads the team in sacks, with 3.5. Donovan Wilson, DaRon Bland and Trikweze Bridges each have one interception.

Arizona Cardinals Preview

The Arizona Cardinals have a 2-5 record this season and are sitting fourth in the NFC West. They are 4-3 ATS, 4-3 in Over/Under and have a 1-3 home record and a 1-2 away record. The Cardinals are coming off a 23-27 home loss against the Green Bay Packers and will face the Seahawks, 49ers and Jaguars next.

Offensively, the Cardinals average 21.9 points per game, ranking 19th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 22.0 points per game, which is 13th. Arizona averages 310.3 total yards per game (199.9 passing and 110.4 rushing), while allowing 335.7 total yards per game (100.9 rushing and 234.9 passing).

Kyler Murray leads the Cardinals with 962 passing yards with 68.3% completed passes and 6 touchdowns. Trey Benson leads the team in rushing yards with 160, while Trey McBride has a team-high 47 receptions for 421 receiving yards, and four touchdowns. Defensively, Mack Wilson has a team-high 53 total tackles (31 of them solo), while Josh Sweat leads the team in sacks, with 5.0. Baron Browning, Mack Wilson and Dadrion Taylor-Demerson each have one interception.

Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys Betting Trends: Week 9

 

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

  • The Cowboys have won each of their last 14 games as favorites following a loss.
  • The Cardinals have lost five of their last six road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cowboys have covered the spread in seven of their last eight games as favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Cardinals have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five Monday games.
  • The Cardinals have lost the first quarter in each of their last three road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cardinals have lost the first half in 13 of their last 14 November games against NFC East opponents.
  • The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six Week 9 home games.

Why the Arizona Cardinals will win

  • The Cardinals have won four of their last five games as road underdogs when playing with a rest advantage.
  • The Cowboys have lost three of their last four Week 9 games as home favorites.
  • The Cardinals have covered the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
  • The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against NFC West opponents.
  • The Cardinals have won the first quarter in each of their last four November games as underdogs.
  • The Cardinals have won the first half in six of their last seven Week 9 road games against NFC opponents.
  • The Cardinals have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games against the Cowboys.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Cowboys’ last six November games as home favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Cardinals’ last eight road games against NFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

  • George Pickens has scored a touchdown in each of his last five appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Jalen Tolbert has recorded 14+ receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last nine home games against NFC opponents.
  • Dak Prescott has recorded 16+ rushing yards in each of his last 10 appearances with the Cowboys as favorites against NFC West opponents.
  • Dak Prescott has recorded 261+ passing yards in each of his last 12 appearances with the Cowboys as home favorites against NFC opponents.
  • CeeDee Lamb has recorded 106+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Cowboys’ last six games as favorites following a loss.
  • Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in seven of his last eight regular season appearances against NFC West opponents.
  • Heading into Week 9, George Pickens is the only player in the NFL to record a touchdown in five consecutive games this season.

Arizona Cardinals Player Prop Facts

  • Kyler Murray has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five November appearances with the Cardinals as underdogs.
  • Michael Wilson has recorded 35+ receiving yards in each of the Cardinals’ last four games against NFC East opponents.
  • Kyler Murray has recorded 20+ rushing yards in each of the Cardinals’ last 12 games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
  • Kyler Murray has recorded 222+ passing yards in each of the Cardinals’ last six road games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
  • Kyler Murray has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last seven appearances following a loss.
  • Heading into Week 9, Greg Dortch ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for catch rate (93.8%) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Cowboys – six different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
  • Cowboys – three different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
  • Cardinals – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
  • Heading into Week 9, the Cardinals rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (2.7) this season.

Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction

In their previous meeting in 2023, the Cardinals won 28-16 at home and are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Cowboys. Under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 meetings.

In this Cardinals vs Cowboys Prediction, the Cowboys are coming as -2.5-point home favorites, with the total set at 54 points. Both teams are coming into this matchup in poor form, as Dallas is 1-2 in its last three games and Arizona having lost its last five. Both teams have been playing some higher-scoring games lately, going for a perfect 8-0 to the over in their last 8 games combined. Dallas combines the second-best defense with the second-worse offense, for 62.1 average total points and they will be the main reason for this game to be a high-scoring one. Take the over 54 points in this one.

Nikos Lagouretos's Free Pick: Over 54

Need More? Get Premium Picks

Related Articles

Back to top button