Buffalo Bills (11-3) vs. Chicago Bears (3-11)
December 24, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Bears +8.5 / Buffalo Bills -8.5; Over/Under: 40.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Buffalo Bills and Chicago Bears meet Saturday in week 16 NFL action at Soldier Field. The Buffalo Bills have won 5 straight games. The Chicago Bears have lost 7 straight games.
The Buffalo Bills have won 4 of their last 5 road games. Josh Allen is completing 63.7 percent of his passes for 3,857 yards, 30 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis have combined for 2,051 receiving yards and 16 touchdowns, while Dawson Knox has 43 receptions. The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 134.9 yards per contest, and Allen leads the way with 705 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 17.9 points and 325.4 yards per game. Tremaine Edmunds leads the Buffalo Bills with 86 tackles, Von Miller has 8 sacks and Jordan Poyer has 4 interceptions.
The Chicago Bears have lost 5 straight home games. Justin Fields is completing 62 percent of his passes for 2,048 yards, 15 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. Darnell Mooney and Cole Kmet have combined for 926 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Equanimeous St. Brown has 18 receptions. The Chicago Bears ground game is averaging 186.9 yards per contest, and Fields leads the way with 1,000 yards and 8 touchdowns. Defensively, Chicago is allowing 25.6 points and 355.6 yards per game. Nicholas Morrow leads the Chicago Bears with 95 tackles, Jaquan Brisker has 3 sacks and Eddie Jackson has 4 interceptions.
The Bills are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on grass and 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games overall. The Bears are 9-19 ATS vs. a team with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 9-3 in Bills last 12 games overall. The over is 7-1 in Bears last 8 games overall. The favorite is 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
The Buffalo Bills should be obvious favorites here, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see a comfortable victory. However, the Chicago Bears have been competitive despite their record. In fact, 8 of the Bear’s 11 losses this season have been decided by single digit points. The Bears find ways to hang around, and a lot of it has to do with Fields at quarterback and the best rushing attack in the league. Short week on the road and nasty wind in Chicago, this has the makings of a competitive game. Give me the Bears and the points.
