Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Prediction 12-22-24 NFL Picks

In this article we will formulate a Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, December 22nd at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 16 matchup.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

The Chicago Bears are 4-10 this season after they lost to Minnesota by a score of 30-12 in their last game. Chicago trailed 13-0 at the half and couldn’t find the end zone until late in the fourth quarter. The Bears were outgained by a total of 329-284, tied the turnover battle at one, and went 1-12 on third down in the game. Caleb Williams threw for 191 yards and one touchdown, while Keenan Allen caught six passes for 82 yards and one score in the game. 

Prior to that loss, the Bears lost seven games in a row, with four of them coming by three points or fewer. The Chicago offense has scored 19.0 points per game with 181.9 passing yards and 106.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.0 points per game this season. Caleb Williams has completed 61.9% of his passes for 2,937 yards, 17 touchdowns, and five interceptions, while DJ Moore has caught 76 passes for 758 yards and five scores. 

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 12-2 this year after they lost to Buffalo by a score of 48-42 in their last game. Detroit trailed 35-14 in the third quarter, but they did come back and make it a game late. The Lions were outgained by a total of 559-521, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 6-13 on third down in the game. Jared Goff threw for 494 yards and five touchdowns, while Amon-Ra St. Brown caught 14 passes for 193 yards and one score in the loss. 

Prior to that game, the Lions won 11 games in a row, with six of them coming by double digits. The Detroit offense has scored 32.8 points per game with 260.1 passing yards and 143.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.1 points per game this season. Jared Goff has completed 71.4% of his passes for 3,759 yards, 30 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Jahmyr Gibbs has rushed for 1,047 yards and 11 scores this year. 

Why the Bears will beat the Lions

• The Lions have lost seven of their last eight Week 16 games.
• The underdogs have won three of the Lions’ last four games at Soldier Field.
• The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last four December home games against NFC opponents.
• The Lions have failed to cover the spread in each of their last three games.
• The Lions have lost the first quarter in four of their last five Sunday games as favorites.
• The Bears have won the first half in each of their last nine home games against the Lions following a road loss.
• The Bears have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight home games against the Lions.

Why the Lions will beat the Bears

• The Bears have lost each of their last 10 games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Lions have won each of their last 10 games following a loss.
• The Lions have covered the spread in each of their last 10 games following a loss.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Lions have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Lions have won the first half in each of their last 12 games following a loss.
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in eight of their last nine games.

Total Points Facts

• Eight of the Lions’ last nine December games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the Bears’ last seven games against NFC North opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the last three games between teams from the same division has gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• Caleb Williams has recorded 231+ passing yards in each of the Bears’ last three home games against NFC opponents.
• D.J. Moore has recorded 68+ receiving yards in each of his six previous appearances against the Lions.
• D’Andre Swift has recorded 61+ rushing yards in five of his last six home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Roschon Johnson has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bears’ last five home games against NFC opponents.
• D.J. Moore has recorded 64+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bears’ last eight games against NFC North opponents.
• Caleb Williams has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Bears’ last four games as underdogs following a loss.
• Kevin Byard is just one away from 30 career interceptions.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• Jared Goff has recorded 271+ passing yards in four of the Lions’ last five December games.
• David Montgomery has recorded 20+ receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last seven games.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored two touchdowns in three of the Lions’ last four December games as favorites.
• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in five of his six previous December appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 60+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight December appearances at Soldier Field.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown has scored a touchdown in each of the Lions’ last six regular season road games against NFC opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 80+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Lions’ last six games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• Jared Goff has thrown three or more touchdowns in three of the Lions’ last four December games as favorites.
• Jared Goff has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last four Week 16 appearances.
• Heading into Week 16, Kerby Joseph ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 16, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in yards per game (288.2) this season.
• Heading into Week 16, the Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in Q1 points per game (1.4) this season.
• Heading into Week 16, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (32.8) this season.
• Heading into Week 16, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in average kickoff return (33.6 yards) this season.

Chicago Bears vs Detroit Lions Prediction 

Detroit comes into this game still holding onto the one seed in the NFC, but they are on the road and they are dealing with a ton of injuries. The Lions defense has been decimated by injuries and they can’t really be relied on to get a stop, which means Goff and the offense need to be perfect. Chicago has lost eight games in a row and their offensive output has been below average, but they should find success against this Detroit defense. I think we are going to see another high-scoring game, as the Detroit defense can’t get off the field. Take the over here.