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Chicago Bears vs Miami Dolphins 11/6/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Miami Dolphins (5-3) vs. Chicago Bears (3-5)
November 6, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Bears +4.5 / Miami Dolphins -4.5; Over/Under: +43.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Chicago Bears and Miami Dolphins do battle Sunday in a week 9 NFL game from Soldier Field.

The Miami Dolphins will be out to build on back-to-back wins, sitting at 5-4 on the year after a 31-27 win over Detroit last time out. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,678 yards, 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 69.9% passing while Raheem Mostert has a team-high 452 rushing yards this season. Tyreek Hill leads Miami’s receiving group with 69 grabs for 961 receiving yards while Jaylen Waddle has 42 catches for 727 receiving yards and a team-high 5 touchdowns. Mike Gesicki also has 235 receiving yards and 4 scores this season. On defense, Brandon Jones has a team-high 49 total tackles while Jaelan Phillips has a team-high 3 sacks so far this season.

The Chicago Bears will look to rebound after falling to 3-5 on the year following a 49-29 beatdown loss to Dallas in their last game. Justin Fields has thrown for 1,199 yards, 7 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 58.5% passing while also rushing for 424 yards and 3 touchdowns. Khalil Herbert has a team-high 563 rushing yards with 4 scores while David Montgomery has 361 rushing yards and a pair of scores. Darnell Mooney leads Chicago’s receiving group with 25 grabs for 364 receiving yards this season. On defense, the Bears have combined for 13 sacks and 9 interceptions up to this point in the season.

Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the under is 11-5 in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record. Chicago is 6-13-1 ATS in their last 20 games overall and 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 home games while the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games following a loss.

I get the reasoning for backing either side in this game, but I’m going to back the under in this one. Both offenses rose to the occasion in week 8, but the problem in this game is that the defenses are built to stop what the other team’s offense does well, as Chicago’s good against the pass with a top-5 pass defense and the Dolphins are 6th in stopping the run. I think there’s going to be a lot of mucking around and the first to 21 wins this game. Give me the under.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Under 43.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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