Chicago Bears vs Pittsburgh Steelers Prediction 11/23/25 NFL Picks Today

The Pittsburgh Steelers and the Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL action from Soldier Field. Here’s a Bears vs Steelers prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Bears vs Steelers pick.

Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Preview

Pittsburgh posted a nice 4-1 run over their first five games this year, losing to Seattle while otherwise toppling the New York Jets, the New England Patriots, the Minnesota Vikings and the Cleveland Browns. Unfortunately the Steelers would go just 1-3 over the next four games, beating only the Indianapolis Colts while otherwise falling to the Cincinnati Bengals, Green Bay Packers and Los Angeles Chargers. In the loss to the Chargers on November 9, the Steelers fell 25-10 after giving up 10 points in two different quarters. Pittsburgh’s offense gained a tepid 221 total yards, 11 first downs and 2-of-11 on third-down tries alongside three turnovers.

In their latest outing on Sunday versus the Bengals, Pittsburgh got the better of their rivals. The Steelers put up points in every quarter and posted a 24-6 advantage in the second half on the way to a 34-12 win at home. QB Mason Rudolph finished 12-of-16 for 127 yards and a score while Jaylen Warren had 10 carries for 62 yards. Kenneth Gainwell was the team’s top receiver with seven grabs for 81 yards and two touchdowns in the winning effort for Pittsburgh.

Chicago Bears Betting Preview

Over on the Bears’ side, they lost their first two outings to the Minnesota Vikings and the Detroit Lions, then hit a win streak over the Dallas Cowboys, Las Vegas Raiders, Washington Commanders and New Orleans Saints. Chicago would fall to the Baltimore Ravens but then beat the Cincinnati Bengals and New York Giants in the next pair. In the 24-20 victory over New York on November 9, the Bears posted 391 total yards with 6.1 yards per play, 23 first downs and 3-of-11 on third-down tries. New York’s 10 penalties didn’t hurt matters either.

Matched up against the Minnesota Vikings last weekend, the Bears turned an early deficit into a 16-3 advantage by the fourth quarter. Chicago was outscored 14-3 from there but held on for the big road win 19-17 in the end. Caleb Williams finished 16-of-32 for 193 yards while D’Andre Swift carried 21 times for 90 yards. Cole Kmet added 45 yards from five receptions as the team’s leading receiver in the victory.

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Chicago Bears Betting Trends: Week 12

Why the Chicago Bears will win

• The Bears have won eight of their last nine home games against AFC North opponents.
• The Steelers have lost each of their last four road games following a win.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last four games as favorites against AFC North opponents.
• The Bears have won the first quarter in each of their last five games following a road win.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Bears have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games as favorites following a road win.

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Steelers have won eight of their last nine November games against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost seven of their last eight games following a Division game.
• The Bears have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight November games as favorites.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in six of their last seven road games against NFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost the first quarter in four of their last five November games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last seven November games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last nine games against NFC North opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bears’ last six games as home favorites following a road win have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Each of the Steelers’ last four games against NFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last three Sunday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.

Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts

• D’Andre Swift has scored a touchdown in four of his five previous appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 26+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last six November games.
• D.J. Moore has recorded 61+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous Week 12 appearances.
• D.J. Moore has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous Week 12 appearances.
• Caleb Williams has recorded 20+ completions in six of the Bears’ last seven games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 12, Kevin Byard ranks 1st in the NFL in interceptions (5) this season.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• D.K. Metcalf has scored a touchdown in each of his last four appearances against NFC opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 19+ receiving yards in each of the Steelers’ last six road games.
• Jonnu Smith has recorded 45+ rushing and receiving yards in six of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 291+ passing yards in three of his last four November appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of his last five November appearances against NFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 24+ completions in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Derrick Harmon has two sacks through his first five career games – most by any player since Jalen Carter, (2023).

Matchup/League Facts

• Bears – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 12.
• Bears – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 12.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 12.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 12.

Bears vs Steelers Prediction

I’ll stick with the Bears, though this should be a pretty fun matchup. You could call it either way. Chicago had to hang on through a wild fourth quarter in their road win over Minnesota last week, but in the end they got the job done. The Bears mustered 320 yards with 7-of-18 on third-down tries alongside a modest 180 pass yards, 4.4 yards per play and 19 first downs in the win. On defense Chicago gave up 265 yards with just 15 first downs and 3-of-11 on third downs along with a couple of picks in a pretty nice overall effort. The Bears have won three straight games, but they’ve all been close affairs over shaky teams. This will be Chicago’s toughest challenge since losing to the Ravens by two touchdowns on October 26.

As for Pittsburgh, they did pretty well on offense in their win over the Bengals—even with the quarterback switch due to Aaron Rodgers’ injury. The Steelers posted 343 total yards, 5.7 yards per play, 22 first downs and a solid 7-of-13 on third-down tries. The defense kept Cincinnati under 300 total yards and came up with a couple of takeaways. Pittsburgh has 21 or more points in seven of the last eight games, so they’ll be a potentially dangerous opponent for the Bears this weekend.