Chicago Bears vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction 11/8/26 NFL Picks Today
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-5) vs. Chicago Bears (5-2)
November 8, 2026 8:20 pm EDT
The Line: Chicago Bears -5.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)
Bears vs Buccaneers Prediction
I’ll go with the Bears here. Chicago is fresh off an impressive Monday night road win over the Seahawks, notching 22 first downs, 363 total yards and 7-of-15 on third downs. The Bears defense gave up 18 first downs, 252 yards and just 1-of-11 on third-down tries. The only real blemish was Chicago’s 10 penalties for 85 yards. That makes three straight wins for the Bears, and their offense is cooking. Chicago has notched 30 or more points in all three of those, and 27 or more points in five of their six victories this year.
As for Tampa Bay, they’re coming off a wild win over the Falcons, taking the victory despite not completing a single pass. The wet conditions made it a defensive battle, and the Bucs unit gave up just eight first downs, 224 total yards and a futile 0-of-12 success rate on third downs while also picking up four interceptions. It was a weird victory but Tampa Bay will take it. They’ve now won three of the last four. Going into Chicago to face a pretty tough Bears team sounds like a little too tall of an order, though.
Game Info, Stats and Previews
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and the Chicago Bears meet Sunday in NFL action from Soldier Field in Chicago. Here’s a collection of relevant information and reasoning for a sound Bears vs Buccaneers prediction. We have looked at this information from a betting perspective and attempted to determine the best Bears vs Bucs pick.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
Tampa Bay hasn’t been able to get much going this year. The Buccaneers lost their first four games out of the gate, falling to the Bengals, Browns, Vikings and Packers. Tampa Bay would get their first win of the season over Dallas, but then fell to Pittsburgh in overtime. Following another win versus the Carolina Panthers, the Buccaneers had a 2-5 record through the first seven games of the year.
In the matchup with the Falcons on Sunday the Bucs got a couple of field goals in the first quarter and another in the second on the way to a 9-0 halftime lead. Tampa Bay got their only trip to the end zone in the third quarter and held on for the shutout victory at home 16-0. QB Baker Mayfield didn’t complete a pass (0-for-3) in the wet, messy environment. That’s the first time that’s happened to a winning team since 1974. Bucky Irving (170 yards; TD) and Kenny Gainwell (140 yards) did most of the heavy work on the ground.
Chicago Bears Betting Preview
Over on the Bears’ side, they’ve been doing pretty well overall this year with a couple of blemishes here and there. Chicago went 3-2 out of the gate, taking out Carolina, Philadelphia and the Jets with losses otherwise versus the Vikings and Packers. After wins over the Falcons and Patriots, the Bears posted a 5-2 overall record in their first seven outings this season.
Matched up against Seattle on Monday the Bears were able to notch a touchdown in the first quarter and a couple of field goals in the second for a 13-9 halftime lead. Chicago scored three more touchdowns in the second half and bagged a 34-17 victory to extend their win streak to three. QB Caleb Williams was 24-of-34 for 247 yards and a TD. D’Andre Swift carries 27 times for 69 yards and three scores while Romeo Odunze had four catches for 87 yards.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Chicago Bears Betting Trends: Week 9
Why the Chicago Bears will win
- The Buccaneers have lost each of their last seven Week 9 road games.
- The home team has won each of the last six games between the Buccaneers and Bears.
- The Buccaneers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 11 night games following a home win.
- The Bears have covered the spread in each of their last seven games without Tyson Bagent.
- The Buccaneers have lost the first quarter in each of their last four road games following a win.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the last six games between the Buccaneers and Bears.
- The Bears have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games as favorites following a road win.
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Bears have lost each of their last 11 Sunday night games.
- The Buccaneers have won three of their last four games as underdogs without Antoine Winfield Jr..
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The road team has covered the spread in six of the Buccaneers’ last seven games.
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in six of their last eight games against the Bears.
- The Buccaneers have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as underdogs.
- The Bears have lost the first half in each of their last six night games against teams that held a losing record.
Total Points Facts
- Eight of the Buccaneers’ last nine games without Antoine Winfield Jr. have gone OVER the total points line.
- Eight of the Bears’ last nine home games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
- Eight of the last nine Sunday games at Soldier Field have gone UNDER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- Rome Odunze has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight home appearances.
- D’Andre Swift has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bears’ last four games.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 247+ passing yards in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
- D’Andre Swift has recorded 69+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last four night games.
- Rome Odunze has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last eight home appearances.
- Caleb Williams has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last five appearances in night games.
- Heading into Week 9, D’Andre Swift ranks T1st in the NFL in touchdowns (10) this season.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances against conference opponents.
- Bucky Irving has scored at least one touchdown in seven of his last eight road appearances against NFC opponents.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 215+ passing yards in each of his last six appearances with the Buccaneers as underdogs following a win.
- Kenneth Gainwell has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last eight appearances following a win.
- Chris Godwin has recorded 51+ receiving yards in each of his last five regular season road appearances against NFC North opponents.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last six appearances with the Buccaneers as underdogs following a win.
- Heading into Week 9, Chase McLaughlin ranks T1st in the NFL in made field goals (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Bears – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Bears – three different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Buccaneers – four different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.
- Buccaneers – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 9.

