Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction 10/19/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Chiefs vs Raiders prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 19th at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 7 matchup.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs are 3-3 this year after they defeated Detroit by a score of 30-17 last week. Kansas City led 13-10 at halftime and added 17 points in the second half to pull away for the huge victory. The Chiefs out gained Detroit by a total of 355-297, went 4-10 on third downs, and tied the turnover battle at zero in the game. Patrick Mahomes went 22-30 for 257 yards and three touchdowns, while Isiah Pacheco rushed 12 times for 51 yards. Travis Kelce led the receivers with six catches for 78 yards in the win. The KC defense recorded one sack and three tackles for loss in the game. 

Kansas City also has wins against the Ravens and Giants, but did lose to the Chargers, Eagles, and Jaguars. The Chiefs have won three of their last four games and they are currently third in the AFC West standings. Kansas City has scored 25.8 points per game with 241.3 passing yards and 118.7 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.7 points against per game this season. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,514 yards, 11 touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Travis Kelce has caught 28 passes for 321 yards and two scores this year. 

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders are 2-4 this season after they defeated Tennessee by a score of 20-10 in their last game. Las Vegas led 10-0 at halftime and they maintained that lead in the second half for the relatively easy win. The Raiders out gained Tennessee by a total of 226-225, went 6-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 3-1 in the game. Geno Smith went 17-23 for 174 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Ashton Jeanty rushed 23 times for 75 yards and one score. Tre Tucker led the receivers with five receptions for 70 yards in the win. The LV defense recorded six sacks and seven tackles for loss in the game. 

Las Vegas also has a win against the Patriots this year, but they have losses against the Colts, Bears, Commanders, and Chargers. The Raiders have lost four of their last five games and they are currently last in the AFC West standings. Las Vegas has scored 17.2 points per game with 201.5 passing yards and 105.2 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 24.8 points against per game this season. Geno Smith has thrown for 1,350 yards, seven touchdowns, and 10 interceptions, while Ashton Jeanty has rushed for 424 yards and three scores on 105 carries this season. 

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Chiefs have won each of their last 11 home games against AFC opponents.
• The Raiders have lost each of their last eight road games in October.
• The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in each of their last four home games in October.
• The favorites have won the first half in each of the Raiders’ last 12 games.
• The Raiders have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven Sunday games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
• The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games as home favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Chiefs’ last six home games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Raiders’ last nine Week 7 games have gone OVER the total points line.
• Three of the last four games between AFC West teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Isiah Pacheco has recorded 31+ rushing yards in each of his last 21 Sunday regular season appearances with the Chiefs as favorites.
• Kareem Hunt has recorded 57+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 10 previous October appearances with the Chiefs as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Travis Kelce has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last 13 home games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 272+ passing yards in each of the Chiefs’ last six October home games against AFC opponents.
• Kareem Hunt has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six October appearances with the Chiefs as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Patrick Mahomes has recorded 26+ completions in eight of the Chiefs’ last nine games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Heading into Week 7, Tyquan Thornton ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (20.9) this season.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

• Geno Smith has recorded 206+ passing yards in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog.
• Geno Smith has recorded 21+ completions in six of his last seven appearances against division opponents.
• Raheem Mostert has recorded 33+ rushing yards in eight of his last nine appearances against AFC West opponents.
• Raheem Mostert has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against division opponents.
• Tre Tucker has recorded 54+ receiving yards in four of the Raiders’ last five games as road underdogs.
• Tre Tucker has scored at least one touchdown in three of the Raiders’ last four road games.
• Heading into Week 7, Ashton Jeanty ranks 1st in the NFL in broken tackles (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Chiefs have scored four or more touchdowns in three consecutive games – longest streak in the league.
• Heading into Week 7, the Chiefs have recorded more total yards than their opponents in five games this season – equal-most in the league.
• Raiders – three different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 7.
• Heading into Week 7, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in average point differential in third quarters this season (-3.8).

Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction 

Kansas City comes into this matchup after defeating the Lions last week and their defense played very well, as they held a high-powered Detroit offense in check. The Raiders did get a win against the Titans, but they have been disappointing and Geno Smith has under performed. The KC offense is rolling right now and I just don’t see the LV offense doing enough to hang around. I don’t trust Smith or this Raiders defense on the road in this spot, and I think the Chiefs will run away with this game. Take Kansas City to cover at home. 

David Racey is 37-21 (64%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #1 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!