Cincinnati Bengals vs New England Patriots Prediction 11/23/25 NFL Picks Today

The New England Patriots and the Cincinnati Bengals meet in week 12 NFL action from Paycor Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals prediction.

New England Patriots Recap

The New England Patriots come into this game looking to add on to their 27-14 win over the New York Jets last time out to sit at 9-2 this season. After this game, New England will take on the New York Giants at home.

Patriots Win 8 In A Row

Drake Maye has thrown for 2,836 yards, 20 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 71.9% passing while TreVeyon Henderson has a team-high 492 rushing yards and 5 TDs. Rhamondre Stevenson has 279 rushing yards and 3 TDs and Drake Maye has 285 rushing yards with 2 TDs while Stefon Diggs has a team-high 59 catches for 659 yards and 3 TDs to lead New England’s receiving group. Kayshon Boutte has 431 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns while Hunter Henry has 422 receiving yards and 4 TDs. Two more Patriots have 300+ receiving yards and another three receivers have 150+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Robert Spillane has a team-high 90 total tackles including 43 solo tackles while Harold Landry III has 5.5 sacks. K’Lavon Chaisson has a team-high 6.5 sacks and Milton Williams has 3.5 sacks. As a unit, New England’s defense has combined for 24 sacks and 7 interceptions so far this season.

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Bengals have lost each of their nine previous Week 12 games against AFC East opponents.
• The Patriots have won each of their last eight games.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in each of their last six road games.
• The Bengals have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Sunday games as home underdogs.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Stefon Diggs has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Drake Maye has recorded 21+ completions in four of the Patriots’ last five games against AFC opponents.
• Drake Maye has recorded 26+ rushing yards in five of the Patriots’ last six road games against AFC opponents.
• Drake Maye has recorded 259+ passing yards in nine of the Patriots’ last 10 games following a win.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 62+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a road favorite in games with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Demario Douglas has recorded 34+ receiving yards in each of the Patriots’ last 10 November games.
• Heading into Week 12, Drake Maye ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (2836) this season.

Cincinnati Bengals Recap

The Cincinnati Bengals come into this game looking to bounce back from a 34-12 loss at the hands of Pittsburgh last time out to sit at 3-7 this season. After this game, Cincinnati will head on the road for a game against the Baltimore Ravens.

Bengals Drop 3 In A Row

Joe Flacco has thrown for 1,463 yards, 12 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 63.4% passing while Joe Burrow has thrown for 189 yards and 2 touchdowns on 58.3% passing. Chase Brown has rushed for a team-high 519 yards and 2 touchdowns while Ja’Marr Chase leads Cincinnati’s receiving group with 79 catches for 861 yards and 5 touchdowns and Tee Higgins also has 544 receiving yards and 7 TDs as well. On defense, Jordan Battle has a team-high 77 total tackles while Demetrius Knight Jr. has 70 total tackles. Trey Hendrickson also has a team-high 4 sacks so far this season. As a unit, Cincinnati has combined for 14 sacks and 8 interceptions so far this season. 

Why the Cincinnati Bengals will win

• The Patriots have lost each of their last six road games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The home team has won each of the Patriots’ last six Week 12 games.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six road games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Patriots’ last five Week 12 games.

Cincinnati Bengals Player Prop Facts

• Tee Higgins has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last nine home appearances.
• Jake Browning has recorded 227+ passing yards in four of his five previous home appearances as a starter.
• Chase Brown has recorded 94+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Bengals’ last five November games.
• Ja’Marr Chase has scored two touchdowns in three of the Bengals’ last four games against teams on a winning streak.
• Tanner Hudson has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 November appearances.
• Chase Brown has recorded 67+ rushing yards in six of the Bengals’ last seven home games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 12, Tee Higgins ranks T1st in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (5) this season.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Bengals’ last seven home games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Eight of the last nine Sunday games at Paycor Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Patriots’ last four Sunday games have gone OVER the total points line.

New England Patriots vs. Cincinnati Bengals Prediction

I’m on New England here. I think the Ja’Marr Chase suspension for this game really hurts the Bengals, and while it’s public knowledge and a lot of people will jump on New England because of that news, I don’t care. Cincinnati’s been competitive at home, but the Patriots have been playing very, very well during this win streak and have been putting the boots to lesser teams far more often than not. This team isn’t a novelty act anymore. I think Cincinnati falls short in this one as New England enters the bye with the win streak intact. Give me the Pats.