Miami Dolphins (7-8) vs. Cleveland Browns (3-12)
December 29, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Browns +6.5; Over/Under: +43.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns meet Sunday in week 17 NFL action at Huntington Bank Field. Here’s a Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Prediction. This article will include a Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Pick.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Miami Dolphins beat the 49ers, lost to the Texans, and they play the Jets next. The Dolphins have lost 4 of their last 5 road games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 72.9 percent of his passes for 2,867 yards, 19 touchdowns, and 7 interceptions. Tyreek Hill and Jonnu Smith have combined for 1,636 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Jaylen Waddle has 54 receptions.
The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 105.7 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 761 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 21.9 points and 312.9 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 128 tackles, Zach Sieler has 8.5 sacks and Jalen Ramsey has 2 interceptions.
Cleveland Browns Betting Preview
The Cleveland Browns lost to the Chiefs and Bengals, and they play the Ravens next. The Cleveland Browns have lost 5 of their last 7 home games. Jameis Winston is completing 61.1 percent of his passes for 2,121 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions. Jerry Jeudy and David Njoku have combined for 1,577 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Elijah Moore has 57 receptions.
The Cleveland Browns ground game is averaging 95.9 yards per contest, and Jerome Ford leads the way with 543 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Cleveland is allowing 25.3 points and 339.9 yards per game. Grant Delpit leads the Cleveland Browns with 98 tackles, Myles Garrett has 12 sacks and Denzel Ward has 2 interceptions.
Why the Miami Dolphins will win
- The Dolphins have won each of their last 10 Sunday games against opponents on a losing streak.
- The Browns have lost each of their last 14 games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
- The Browns have failed to cover the spread in each of their last eight games as underdogs against AFC East opponents.
- The Dolphins have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Browns have lost the first half in each of their last nine December games as underdogs.
- The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Browns have lost the first quarter in each of their last three games against teams that held a losing record.
Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts
- David Njoku has scored a touchdown in each of his last three appearances in day games at Huntington Bank Field against teams with a losing record.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 15+ rushing yards in seven of his nine previous December appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- David Njoku has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of his last seven December appearances.
- Jerome Ford has recorded 82+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Browns’ last three December home games against AFC opponents.
- Jameis Winston has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five Sunday appearances.
- Heading into Week 17, Myles Garrett ranks T1st in the league for tackles for loss (18) this season.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 13+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last four road games.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 43+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 12 previous December appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Jonnu Smith has scored the last touchdown in three of the Dolphins’ last four games against AFC opponents.
- Tyreek Hill has scored at least one touchdown in eight of the Dolphins’ last nine day games against teams on a losing streak.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 288+ passing yards in five of his last six Sunday appearances with the Dolphins as favorites.
- Raheem Mostert has recorded 37+ rushing yards in each of his 12 previous December appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 25+ completions in each of the Dolphins’ last five games against AFC opponents.
- Tua Tagovailoa has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Dolphins’ last two games as favorites following a win.
- Heading into Week 17, De’Von Achane is the only player in the NFL to record 5+ rushing and 5+ receiving TDs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 17, the Browns rank 32nd in the NFL in turnover differential (-18) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (3921) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Dolphins rank T31st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (13.3) this season.
- Heading into Week 17, the Dolphins rank 30th in the NFL in forced fumbles (7) this season.
Cleveland Browns vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
This could be an ugly game, looking at the forecast, as there’s a chance it’s going to rain. Bad weather gives underdogs life. With that said, the Browns not only rack up the losses, but they’re 4-11 ATS on the season. The Miami Dolphins have a history of beating up bad teams under Mike McDaniel, and this game fits the bill. Also, the motivation is on the Dolphins’ side, as they’re still in the playoff hunt. There’s little interest in the Browns these days. Check the weather update before locking in anything. I’ll still take the Dolphins by double-digit points.
