Colts vs Steelers Prediction 10/11/26 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Colts vs Steelers Prediction for this NFL Week 4 game on Sunday, October 11^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Preview

The Pittsburgh Steelers have a 2-2 record this season are sitting on the 3rd place of the AFC North. They are coming off a 24-27 road loss against the Browns and will face the Colts, the Buccaneers and the Saints next.

Offensively, the Steelers average 19.3 points per game, ranking 23rd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 21.8 points per game, which is 14th. Pittsburgh averages 317.8 total yards per game (223 passing and 94.8 rushing), while allowing 322.3 total yards per game (112.8 rushing and 209.5 passing).

Aaron Rodgers leads the Steelers with 999 passing yards with 57.5% completed passes and seven touchdowns. Jaylen Warren leads the team in rushing yards with 309, while D.K. Metcalf has 16 receptions for a team-high 213 receiving yards. Defensively, Payton Wilson has a team-high 36 total tackles (15 of them solo), while T.J. Watt leads the team in sacks, with 4.5.

Indianapolis Colts Preview

The Indianapolis Colts have a 2-2 record this season are sitting on the 2nd place of the AFC South. They are coming off a 30-13 road win against the Commanders and will face the Titans, the Vikings and the Jaguars next.

Offensively, the Colts average 25.5 points per game, ranking 13th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 26 points per game, which is 22nd. Indianapolis averages 284.3 total yards per game (174.8 passing and 109.5 rushing), while allowing 392.3 total yards per game (131 rushing and 261.3 passing).

Daniel Jones leads the Colts with 754 passing yards with 63.6% completed passes and three touchdowns. Jonathan Taylor leads the team in rushing yards with 353, while Josh Downs has 17 receptions for a team-high 202 receiving yards. Defensively, Akeem Davis-Gaither has a team-high 37 total tackles (20 of them solo), while DeForest Buckner leads the team in sacks, with 3.

Indianapolis Colts @ Pittsburgh Steelers Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the Pittsburgh Steelers will win

• The Colts have lost each of their last six games without DeForest Buckner.
• The Steelers have won 16 of their last 18 Sunday games against the Colts.
• The Steelers have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games as home favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Colts have failed to cover the spread in six of their last eight games as underdogs when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Steelers have won the first half in each of their last six games as home favorites.
• The Steelers have scored the first touchdown in seven of their last eight games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have won the first quarter in four of their last five games in October.

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

• The Steelers have lost four of their last five games as favorites without T.J. Watt.
• The underdogs have won four of the last five games between the Colts and Steelers.
• The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last eight October games against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as favorites without T.J. Watt.
• The Colts have won the first quarter in six of their last seven October games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Steelers have lost the first half in eight of their last nine home games against AFC South opponents.
• The Colts have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 13 games as road underdogs.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Colts’ last six October games against AFC North opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Steelers’ last eight Sunday games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total points line.

Pittsburgh Steelers Player Prop Facts

• D.K. Metcalf has scored at least one touchdown in four of his five previous Week 5 appearances.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last five Week 5 appearances.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 64+ rushing yards in four of the Steelers’ last five regular season games against AFC opponents.
• Aaron Rodgers has recorded 221+ passing yards in each of his last eight Week 5 appearances.
• Darnell Washington has recorded 25+ receiving yards in each of his last six home appearances against AFC opponents.
• Jaylen Warren has recorded 99+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Steelers’ last four regular season games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 5, Jaylen Warren has the most rushing yards without a rushing touchdown this season (309).

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

• Daniel Jones has recorded 20+ rushing yards in seven of his last nine October appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 213+ passing yards in each of his five previous road appearances against AFC North opponents.
• Daniel Jones has recorded 22+ completions in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as an underdog following a win.
• Anthony Richardson has scored at least one touchdown in three of his last four road appearances.
• Darius Slayton has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 5, Spencer Shrader ranks 2nd in the NFL in made field goals (11) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Steelers – two different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Steelers – two different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Heading into Week 5, the Colts rank 32nd in the NFL in turnover differential (-6) this season.
• Heading into Week 5, the Colts have scored the first touchdown in eight consecutive games – longest streak in the league.

Colts vs Steelers Prediction

In this Colts vs Steelers Prediction, the Steelers are coming as -2.5 home favorites. Both teams have identical records this season but the Colts are coming off back-to-back wins and are 3-0 against the spread, while the Steelers are 1-2 both straight up and against the spread in their last three. Steelers have a better history against the Colts, as they are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings and have won and covered the spread in their last give meetings in Pittsburgh and have also won and covered their two home games this season. Take the Steelers and lay the small number at home.