Commanders vs Vikings Prediction 12/7/25 NFL Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Commanders vs Vikings Prediction for this NFL Week 13 game on Sunday, December 7^th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NFL matchup.

Minnesota Vikings Preview

The Minnesota Vikings have a 4-8 record this season and are sitting fourth in the NFC North. They are 4-8 ATS, 7-5 in Over/Under and have a 1-4 home record and a 3-4 away record. The Vikings are coming off a 0-26 away loss against the Seattle Seahawks and will face the Cowboys, Giants and Lions next.

Offensively, the Vikings average 18.7 points per game, ranking 28th in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 23.4 points per game, which is 18th. Minnesota averages 272.6 total yards per game (173.2 passing and 99.4 rushing), while allowing 306.8 total yards per game (128.4 rushing and 178.4 passing).

Carson Wentz leads the Vikings with 1216 passing yards with 65.1% completed passes and six touchdowns. Jordan Mason leads the team in rushing yards with 578, while Justin Jefferson has a team-high 62 receptions for 799 receiving yards, and two touchdowns. Defensively, Blake Cashman has a team-high 83 total tackles (39 of them solo), while Dallas Turner leads the team in sacks, with 5.5, while Josh Metellus and Isaiah Rodgers each have one interception.

Washington Commanders Preview

The Washington Commanders have a 3-9 record this season and are sitting third in the NFC East. They are 4-8 ATS, 6-6 in Over/Under and have a 2-4 home record and a 1-5 away record. The Commanders are coming off a 26-27 home loss against the Denver Broncos and will face the Giants, Eagles and Cowboys next.

Offensively, the Commanders average 21.8 points per game, ranking 22nd in the NFL, while defensively, they allow 26.9 points per game, which is 28th. Washington averages 337.6 total yards per game (198.7 passing and 138.9 rushing), while allowing 388.3 total yards per game (133.3 rushing and 255 passing).

Marcus Mariota leads the Commanders with 1359 passing yards with 63.2% completed passes and nine touchdowns. Jacory Croskey-Merritt leads the team in rushing yards with 518, while Deebo Samuel has a team-high 58 receptions for 534 receiving yards, and five touchdowns. Defensively, Bobby Wagner has a team-high 115 total tackles (56 of them solo), while Dorance Armstrong Jr. leads the team in sacks, with 5.5.

Washington Commanders @ Minnesota Vikings Betting Trends: Week 14

Why the Minnesota Vikings will win

• The Vikings have won each of their last 11 December games as favorites.
• The Commanders have lost each of their last seven games.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games against NFC opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in seven of the Vikings’ last eight Week 14 games.
• The Commanders have lost the first quarter in each of their last seven road games against NFC opponents.
• The Vikings have scored the first touchdown in nine of their last 10 games as favorites against NFC East opponents.
• The Commanders have lost the first half in each of their last six games against NFC opponents.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Vikings have lost each of their last six games against NFC East opponents on a losing streak.
• The Commanders have won each of their last three games as underdogs against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Vikings have failed to cover the spread in each of their last seven home games against NFC East opponents.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last three December games against NFC North opponents.
• The Vikings have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Vikings have lost the first half in eight of their last nine games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Vikings’ four previous games without Aaron Jones have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Commanders’ last four road games without Marcus Mariota have gone UNDER the total points line.

Minnesota Vikings Player Prop Facts

• Aaron Jones has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five appearances against NFC East opponents.
• T.J. Hockenson has recorded 23+ receiving yards in each of his last 14 December appearances.
• Jordan Mason has recorded 30+ rushing yards in each of the Vikings’ last seven games against NFC opponents.
• Justin Jefferson has recorded 59+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 13 regular season home appearances against NFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 14, Max Brosmer has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (4 vs Seahawks, Week 13).

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has recorded 25+ rushing yards in nine of the Commanders’ last 10 games.
• Deebo Samuel has recorded 44+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 road appearances against NFC opponents.
• Terry McLaurin has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last seven Sunday road appearances.
• Marcus Mariota has recorded 213+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances as a starter.
• Terry McLaurin has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of his last 12 appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Terry McLaurin has scored two touchdowns in three of his last four Sunday regular season road appearances.
• Jayden Daniels has recorded 22+ completions in six of his last seven appearances with the Commanders as road underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has four rushing touchdowns through his first five career games – most by any player since De’Von Achane, (2023).

Matchup/League Facts

• Vikings – five different players have recorded 2.0 sacks or more in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Heading into Week 14, the Vikings rank 32nd in the NFL in turnover differential (-15) this season.
• Commanders – five different players have recorded 50+ rushing yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
• Commanders – four different players have recorded 60+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.

Commanders vs Vikings Prediction

In this Commanders vs Vikings Prediction, the Vikings are coming as -1.5-point home favorites. Both teams have been underwhelming this season, but the Vikings have one win more than the Commanders. Both teams have terrible home/away splits, with just one win each and are coming into this matchup in terrible form, as they are 1-6 and 0-7 in their last 7 games respectively. They are both terrible offensively this season, scoring just 40.5 points per game combined and Minnesota has scored just 6 total points in its last two games. I expect a low-scoring affair between two struggling offenses today, so take the under 42 points in this one.