Houston Texans (6-4) vs. Dallas Cowboys (3-6)
November 18, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Cowboys +7.5; Over/Under: +50.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Houston Texans and Dallas Cowboys meet Monday in week 11 NFL action at AT&T Stadium. Here’s a Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Prediction. This article will include a Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Pick.
Houston Texans Betting Preview
The Houston Texans lost to the Jets and Lions, and play the Titans next. The Houston Texans have lost 3 of their last 4 road games. C.J. Stroud is completing 62.9 percent of his passes for 2,371 yards, 12 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Nico Collins and Stefon Diggs have combined for 1,062 receiving yards and 6 touchdowns, while Tank Dell has 35 receptions.
The Houston Texans ground game is averaging 119.4 yards per contest, and Joe Mixon leads the way with 655 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Houston is allowing 22.6 points and 288 yards per game. Henry To’oTo’o leads the Houston Texans with 56 tackles, Will Anderson Jr. has 7.5 sacks and Calen Bullock has 4 interceptions.
Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview
The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Falcons and Eagles, and they play the Commanders next. The Dallas Cowboys have lost 4 straight home games. Cooper Rush is completing 56.5 percent of his passes for 212 yards, 1 touchdown, and 1 interception. CeeDee Lamb and Jalen Tolbert have combined for 1,048 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Jake Ferguson has 42 receptions.
The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 83.7 yards per contest, and Rico Dowdle leads the way with 374 yards on 83 carries. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 28.8 points and 362.9 yards per game. Eric Kendricks leads the Dallas Cowboys with 78 tackles, DeMarvion Overshown has 4 sacks and Trevon Diggs has 2 interceptions.
Why the Houston Texans will win
- The Cowboys have lost each of their last eight November games against AFC opponents.
- The Texans have won nine of their last 10 games following a loss.
- The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last six games following a home loss.
- The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games at AT&T Stadium.
- The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last five games at AT&T Stadium.
- The Texans have won the first half in each of their last 10 games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
- The Texans have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four games following a home loss.
Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts
- Ezekiel Elliott has scored a touchdown in each of the Cowboys’ last four games against AFC South opponents.
- Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 18+ receiving yards in each of his last eight November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 22+ rushing yards in each of his 15 previous November appearances at AT&T Stadium.
- Ezekiel Elliott has recorded 49+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 12 previous November appearances against AFC opponents.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 271+ passing yards in nine of his last 10 home appearances.
- Dak Prescott has recorded 26+ completions in four of his last five home appearances.
- Dak Prescott has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last nine home appearances in November.
- Jourdan Lewis is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Houston Texans Player Prop Facts
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 304+ passing yards in four of the Texans’ last five November games.
- Stefon Diggs has recorded 74+ receiving yards in each of his last eight November road appearances.
- Dameon Pierce has recorded 16+ rushing yards in eight of his nine previous appearances following a home loss.
- Stefon Diggs has recorded 74+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight November road appearances.
- Joe Mixon has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six appearances following a loss.
- C.J. Stroud has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Texans’ last four games as road favorites.
- C.J. Stroud has recorded 24+ completions in each of the Texans’ last four games as favorites following a loss.
- Jimmie Ward is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 11, the Cowboys rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return (16.2 yards) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Cowboys rank 32nd in the NFL in Q3 points per game (2.4) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in Q2 win percentage (80.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 11, the Texans rank 1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage (90.0) this season.
Dallas Cowboys vs Houston Texans Prediction
The Dallas Cowboys are a complete mess, as they’ve lost 4 straight games and have yet to win at home. With Rush at quarterback, the Cowboys offense is even less reliable and coming off a contest where they scored just 6 points. With that said, the Texans are banged up on the offensive side of the ball and the defense remains hit or miss. The Texans also just lost a home game despite the defense coming away with five interceptions. The Texans have been a favorite of 7 or more points twice since December 2019 and both of those games were outright losses. I’d grab the points with the Cowboys at home if forced to pick.
