Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction 1-5-25 NFL Picks
Washington Commanders (11-5) vs. Dallas Cowboys (7-9)
January 5, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Dallas Cowboys +4; Over/Under: 44
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In this article, we will formulate a Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction for this NFL Week 18 game on Sunday, January 5th at AT&T Stadium.
Big Changes Coming for the Cowboys?
The big question for the Cowboys is if there will be changes after this game, but for now they still have one game left to playoff. The Cowboys last game came against the Eagles, and earlier on in the game they were out of it, and as the game went on, it only got worse. Cooper Rush has shown a glimpse at times, but he’s meant to be a backup in the NFL. Against the Eagles he completed 15 of his 28 passes for 147 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions. Rico Dowdle did have one of his best games of the season finishing with 23 carries for 104 yards. Brandin Cooks did step up with CeeDee Lamb out and caught four passes for 52 yards. The defense again had major issues and they were cooked. They made two backup quarterbacks for the Eagles look really good.
The Cowboys on the season is averaging 20.7 points while their defense is giving up 27.8 points per game. The offense is ranked 21st while the defense is ranked 31st. If they want any chance in this game, the defense is going to need to be a whole lot better, or this is going to be a very long game.
Commanders Have Playoff Bearth Locked Up
The Commanders have their playoff berth locked up, and now they will look for their 12th win of the season. It took overtime against the Atlanta Falcons, and it wasn’t always the prettiest game, but they were able to secure the 30-24 victory. They had to score 10 points in the 4th quarter to even tie it up, and then finished it off in overtime with a Zach Ertz touchdown. Jayden Daniels completed 24 of his 36 passes for 227 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception. He also was the top rusher finishing with 127 yards on 16 carries. Two games ago against the Eagles, they were able to secure a 33-363 victory, and they are going to need the offense to be strong again.
The Commanders on the season is averaging 28.8 points while their defense is giving up 23.3 points per game. The offense is ranked 5th in the league while the defense is ranked 18th. They have done a good job of getting out to a fast starts and are averaging 6.81 points per game in 1st quarters of games. Backup running back Austin Ekeler is dealing with a concussion nad it’s unclear when he will be back.
Why the Commanders Will Beat the Cowboys
- The Commanders have won each of their last four games.
- The Cowboys have lost each of their last six games as underdogs following a Division loss.
- The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games at AT&T Stadium against teams that held a winning record.
- The favorites have covered the spread in five of the Commanders’ last six games at AT&T Stadium.
- The Cowboys have lost the first half in six of their last seven home games in January.
- The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in six of their last seven January games at AT&T Stadium.
Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction
This game is going to be a shootout. One thing we know about this Cowboys defense is they are awful and they aren’t going to magically turn it around in this game. The Commanders are averaging 28.8 points per game and they going to have no issue reaching that number here. Their defense will struggle though and Cooper Rush is going to have a big game. Look for both teams to have some major issues with the defense, and this game is going to be a shootout. I don’t have a strong play on the side, but this is a strong play on the total.Back the over to cash here.