Dallas Cowboys vs Washington Commanders Prediction 10/19/25 NFL Picks Today

The Washington Commanders and the Dallas Cowboys meet in week 7 NFL action from AT&T Stadium on Sunday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys prediction.

Washington Commanders Recap

The Washington Commanders come into this game looking to bounce back from their 25-24 loss at the hands of the Chicago Bears last time out to sit at 3-3 this season. After this game, the Commanders will head on the road for a game against the Kansas City Chiefs.

Commanders Alternate Wins & Losses So Far This Season

Jayden Daniels has thrown for 875 yards, 7 touchdowns and an interceptionon 62.1% passing while Marcus Mariota has thrown for 363 yards, 3 touchdowns and an INT on 64.6% passing. Jacory Croskey-Merritt has a team-high 344 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns for the Commanders on the ground while Jeremy McNichols has added 117 rushing yards and a TD. Deebo Samuel leads Washington’s receivers with 34 grabs for 315 yards and 3 touchdowns while Terry McLaurin has 149 receiving yards and Zach Ertz has 20 catches for 192 yards of his own as well as 2 TDs. Luke McCaffrey also has 8 grabs for 179 yards and 3 TDs while Chris Moore has 105 receiving yards and a TD. On defense, Bobby Wagner has a team-high 65 total tackles in addition to 30 solo tackles and a pair of sacks while Dorance Armstrong has a team-high 5.5 sacks. As a unit, Washington’s group has combined for 18 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season.

Why the Washington Commanders will win

• The Commanders have won each of their last nine games as road favorites following a loss.
• The Cowboys have lost four of their last five October games against NFC opponents.
• The Commanders have covered the spread in each of their last four games following a loss.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four October games as underdogs against NFC opponents.

Washington Commanders Player Prop Facts

• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Commanders’ last three games following a loss.
• Luke McCaffrey has recorded 33+ receiving yards in three of the Commanders’ last four games.
• Luke McCaffrey has recorded 33+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Commanders’ last four games.
• Marcus Mariota has recorded 205+ passing yards in each of his three previous appearances with his team as a favorite with a total points line of at least 50.0.
• Marcus Mariota has recorded 43+ rushing yards in each of his last three regular season appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Jacory Croskey-Merritt has four rushing touchdowns through his first five career games – most by any player since De’Von Achane, (2024).

Dallas Cowboys Recap

The Dallas Cowboys come into this game looking to rebound from their 30-27 loss to Carolina, sitting at 2-3-1 on the year as a result. After this game, the Cowboys will head on the road for a game against the Denver Broncos.

Cowboys Looking For Consistency

Dak Prescott has thrown for 1,617 yards, 13 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 71.6% passing while Javonte Williams leads the Cowboys in rushing with 476 rushing yards and 5 touchdowns so far this season. George Pickens leads the Cowboys in receiving with 525 yards and 6 touchdowns while Jake Ferguson has a team-high 44 catches for 305 yards and 4 TDs. Four more Cowboys have 100+ receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Kenneth Murray Jr. has a team-high 42 total tackles including 21 solo tackles while James Houston has a team-high 3.5 sacks and the Cowboys’ defense as a whole has combined for 11 sacks and 2 interceptions so far this season. 

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Commanders have lost each of their last nine Week 7 road games against NFC East opponents.
• The home team has won 13 of the Commanders’ last 14 Week 7 games.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Commanders’ last nine Week 7 games.
• The Commanders have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight games at AT&T Stadium.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• George Pickens has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last six Sunday appearances.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 289+ passing yards in each of his last four home appearances against the Commanders.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in each of his six previous home appearances against the Commanders.
• George Pickens has recorded 74+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• George Pickens has recorded 74+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in 11 of his last 12 Sunday home appearances.
• Heading into Week 7, George Pickens ranks T1st in the NFL in receiving touchdowns (6) this season.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last four games in October have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Commanders’ last four games as road favorites following a home loss have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Seven of the last nine Sunday games at AT&T Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Washington Commanders vs. Dallas Cowboys Prediction

I’m leaning towards the over here. Jayden Daniels off of a loss with Washington has been a solid bet and against a Cowboys defense that’s been mighty susceptible this season, I could see the Commanders scoring at will here. On the other side, Dallas has had no problems racking up points in their own right, and I think that the total is this high for a reason. Give me the over in this one.