Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction 11-17-24 NFL Picks
Atlanta Falcons (6-4) vs. Denver Broncos (5-5)
November 17, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Denver Broncos -2.5; Over/Under: +44
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction for this NFL Week 10 game on Sunday, November 17th, at Empor Field at Mile High.
The Broncos Need This Win
The Broncos sit with a 5-5 record but they were a blocked field goal away from a 6-4 record. The Broncos lined up for a short kick to knock off the Kansas City Chiefs in the last game and it ended up getting blocked. Instead of winning, the Broncos scored only 14 points and they ended up losing by two points. Bo Nix completed 22 of his 30 passes for 215 yards, two touchdowns, and zero interceptions. Courtland Sutton had a huge game finishing with six carries for 70 yards and a touchdown.
The Broncos are averaging 19.7 points while their defense is giving up 17.7 points per game. The offense is ranked 22nd in the league while the defense is ranked 4th. If they want to win this game, the defense is going to need to step up in a big way here.
How Do the Falcons Bounce Back
There is no excuse for what happened last week for the Falcons. The Falcons went on the road to the 2-7 New Orleans Saints and they ended up losing 20-17. Kirk Cousins completed 23 of his 38 passes for 306 yards and an interception. He didn’t throw a touchdown and even though the passing yards were high, they didn’t do enough. Running back Bijan Robinson was impressive finishing with 20 carries for 116 yards and two touchdowns.
The Falcons are averaging 23.8 points while their defense is giving up 23.6 points per game. The offense is ranked 13th in the league while the defense is ranked 20th. In this game, the offense needs to get out to a fast start to really try to put the pressure on. If the offense struggles it could be another long game.
Why the Falcons Will Beat the Broncos
- The Broncos have lost five of their last seven November games as home favorites.
- The underdogs have won four of the Broncos’ last six Week 11 games.
- The underdogs have covered the spread in 10 of the Broncos’ last 11 Week 11 games.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight November games as home favorites.
- The Falcons have won the first quarter in each of their last two games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Broncos have lost the first half in four of their last five November home games against NFC opponents.
Denver Broncos vs Atlanta Falcons Prediction
Give me the Falcons here. The last loss for the Broncos crushed any sort of confidence they might have. Kirk Cousins is going to throw a couple of touchdown passes and Robinson is going to also run wild. Bo Nix might not have a solid game but it’s not going to be enough to come out on top. It’s going to be the Kirk Cousins game and the Falcons will get the job done. Back the Falcons against the spread.