Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 12-5-24 NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers prediction for this NFL game on Thursday, December 5th at Ford Field in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.

Detroit Lions Betting Preview

The Detroit Lions are 11-1 this year after they defeated Chicago by a score of 23-20 in their last game. Detroit led 23-7 in the fourth quarter, but they were in danger of losing the game before Chicago forgot how to manage the clock. The Lions outgained Chicago by a total of 405-301, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-14 on third down in the game. Jared Goff threw for 221 yards and two touchdowns, while David Montgomery rushed for 88 yards on 21 carries. 

Prior to that victory, the Lions won nine games in a row, with six of them coming by double digits. The Detroit offense has scored 31.9 points per game with 240.8 passing yards and 154.4 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 16.9 points per game this season. Jared Goff has completed 71.8% of his passes for 2,982 yards, 22 touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Amon-Ra St. Brown has caught 76 passes for 820 yards and nine scores. 

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

The Green Bay Packers are 9-3 this season after they defeated Miami by a score of 30-17 in their last game. Green Bay led 24-3 at halftime and they were never in danger of losing the game. The Packers outgained Miami by a total of 388-375, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 5-11 on third down in the game. Jordan Love threw for 274 yards and two scores, while Josh Jacobs rushed for 43 yards and one touchdown in the game. 

Prior to that win, the Packers defeated San Francisco by a score of 38-10 and Chicago by a score of 20-19. The Green Bay offense has scored 26.5 points per game with 234.3 passing yards and 148.5 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20 points per game this season. Jordan Love has completed 63% of his passes for 2,518 yards, 20 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Josh Jacobs has rushed for 987 yards and eight scores this year. 

Why the Lions will beat the Packers

• The Lions have won each of their last 13 games against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Lions have covered the spread in seven of their last eight home games in December.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games at Ford Field.
• The home team has won the first quarter in each of the Lions’ last seven games.
• The Lions have won the first half in 17 of their last 18 games as favorites against NFC North opponents.
• The Lions have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Week 14 games at Ford Field.

Why the Packers will beat the Lions

• The Packers have won eight of their last nine games as moderate underdogs (+3.5 to +7.0 points).
• The Lions have lost seven of their last eight Thursday games at Ford Field.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in each of the Packers’ last five games at Ford Field.
• The Lions have failed to cover the spread in three of their last four home games against NFC North opponents.
• The Packers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games following a home win.
• The Packers have won the first half in each of their last five road games following a home win.
• The Packers have won the first quarter in each of their last eight games as underdogs.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Packers’ last six road games following a home win has gone OVER the total points line.
• Seven of the Lions’ last eight Week 14 games against NFC opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Three of the last four games between NFC North teams have gone UNDER the total points line.

Detroit Lions Player Prop Facts

• David Montgomery has scored the first touchdown in four of his five previous December appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
• Jared Goff has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 11 home appearances against NFC North opponents.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has recorded 91+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of the Lions’ last eight games following a win.
• Jared Goff has recorded 257+ passing yards in 10 of the Lions’ last 11 games following a home win.
• Tim Patrick has recorded 26+ receiving yards in each of his last six home appearances against division opponents.
• David Montgomery has recorded 60+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight December home appearances.
• Jared Goff has recorded 22+ completions in each of his last four December appearances with his team as a home favorite.
• Jahmyr Gibbs has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Lions’ last six home games as moderate favorites (-3.5 to -7.0 points).
• Heading into Week 14, Kerby Joseph ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) this season.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Jayden Reed has scored the first touchdown in each of the Packers’ last three road games against NFC North opponents.
• Christian Watson has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six regular-season appearances with the Packers as underdogs against NFC opponents.
• Jordan Love has recorded 22+ completions in seven of the Packers’ last eight games against NFC North opponents.
• Jordan Love has recorded 256+ passing yards in each of the Packers’ last six games against NFC North opponents.
• Christian Watson has recorded 46+ receiving yards in each of his four previous December appearances.
• Jordan Love has recorded 12+ rushing yards in three of the Packers’ last four road games against NFC North opponents.
• Jordan Love has thrown two or more touchdowns in eight of his last nine appearances with the Packers as underdogs.
• Christian Watson has recorded 46+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his four previous December appearances.
• Heading into Week 14, Xavier McKinney ranks T1st in the NFL in interceptions (7) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 14, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (31.9) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Lions rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (37.3) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Packers rank T1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (12) this season.
• Heading into Week 14, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (3.2) this season.

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers Prediction 

Detroit comes into this matchup looking to extend this lengthy winning streak and they will be at home, but they are dealing with a lot of injuries on the defensive side of the ball. The Lions didn’t look great in the second half against Chicago last week and I am worried about their defense in this game. Green Bay has won three games in a row and they have scored at least 30 points in each of their last two. I think we are going to have a very high-scoring game here, as the Lions offense is going to cover for the defensive injuries. Take the over here.