Dolphins vs Bills Prediction 11/9/25 NFL Picks Today

The Buffalo Bills and Miami Dolphins meet Sunday in NFL action at Hard Rock Stadium. Here’s a Dolphins vs Bills Prediction. This article will include a Dolphins vs Bills Pick.

Buffalo Bills Betting Preview

The Buffalo Bills beat the Panthers and Chiefs, and they play the Buccaneers next. The Bills have won 6 of their last 8 games. Josh Allen is completing 70.4 percent of his passes for 1,833 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Khalil Shakir and Dalton Kincaid have combined for 810 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns, while Keon Coleman has 29 receptions.

The Buffalo Bills ground game is averaging 161.5 yards per contest, and James Cook leads the way with 867 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Buffalo is allowing 20.9 points and 311.3 yards per game. Cole Bishop leads the Buffalo Bills with 41 tackles, Joey Bosa has 4 sacks and AJ Epenesa has 1 interception.

Miami Dolphins Betting Preview

The Miami Dolphins lost to the Ravens, beat the Falcons, and they play the Commanders next. The Dolphins have lost 8 of their last 10 games. Tua Tagovailoa is completing 67.9 percent of his passes for 1,779 yards, 15 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions. Jaylen Waddle and De’Von Achane have combined for 860 receiving yards and 8 touchdowns, while Tyreek Hill has 21 receptions.

The Miami Dolphins ground game is averaging 97.2 yards per contest, and De’Von Achane leads the way with 606 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Miami is allowing 27 points and 343.7 yards per game. Jordyn Brooks leads the Miami Dolphins with 93 tackles, Bradley Chubb has 4 sacks and Minkah Fitzpatrick has 1 interception.

Why the Miami Dolphins will win

• The Dolphins have won each of their last 10 home games in November.
• The Bills have lost four of their last five games as road favorites when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Dolphins have covered the spread in nine of their last 10 home games in November.
• The Bills have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight road games when playing with a rest disadvantage.
• The Bills have lost the first quarter in six of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in five of their last six games played on the East Coast.
• The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last 10 home games in November.

Why the Buffalo Bills will win

• The Dolphins have lost each of their last 13 games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
• The Bills have won 14 of their last 15 games against the Dolphins.
• The road team has covered the spread in nine of the Bills’ last 10 Week 10 games.
• The Dolphins have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven games when playing with a rest advantage.
• The Bills have won the first quarter in each of their last four November road games against AFC East opponents.
• The Bills have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Sunday games.
• The Bills have won the first half in each of their last five November games as road favorites.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Dolphins’ last seven games against AFC East opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last seven Sunday games at Hard Rock Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Bills’ last four games at Hard Rock Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts

• De’Von Achane has scored the first touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last three Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Dolphins’ last six November home games.
• Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 230+ passing yards in each of the Dolphins’ last six November home games.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Dolphins’ last seven games played as underdogs on the East Coast.
• De’Von Achane has recorded 101+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last five home games.
• Nick Westbrook-Ikhine has recorded 41+ receiving yards in each of his last six November home appearances.
• De’Von Achane has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last 11 Sunday games played on the East Coast.
• Heading into Week 10, Tua Tagovailoa has thrown the equal-most interceptions in a single game this season (3 vs Chargers, Week 6).

Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts

• James Cook has scored two touchdowns in four of the Bills’ last five Sunday road games.
• Josh Allen has recorded 22+ completions in each of the Bills’ last five November games.
• Josh Allen has recorded 44+ rushing yards in each of the Bills’ last five November road games.
• Dawson Knox has recorded 16+ receiving yards in each of his nine previous November road appearances.
• Josh Allen has recorded 253+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last four November road games.
• James Cook has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills’ last eight games against teams that held a losing record.
• Curtis Samuel has recorded 19+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his 11 previous November road appearances.
• Heading into Week 10, James Cook is the only player in the NFL to record 100+ rushing yards in three or more consecutive games this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 10, the Dolphins have suffered the equal-most losses by a margin of 20+ points this season (3).
• Heading into Week 10, the Dolphins have suffered the equal-most road losses by a margin of 20+ points this season (2).
• Heading into Week 10, the Bills rank 1st in the NFL in yards per game (385.5) this season.
• Heading into Week 10, the Bills rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards per game (161.5) this season.

Dolphins vs Bills Prediction

Usually I’d want the points with the home team that has the rest advantage, but the Dolphins have looked awful more times than not, and they’re playing a Bills team that’s owned them over the years. The Bills have won 9 of the last 10 games against the Dolphins, and most of those games weren’t competitive. For his career against the Dolphins, Allen is 13-2 with nearly 4,000 passing yards, 40 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. If Allen played the Dolphins every week, he’d be considered the best and second-best quarterback in NFL history. I don’t expect a competitive game. Give me the Bills in a road beat down.