Falcons vs Chiefs Prediction 11/15/26 NFL Picks Today

Falcons vs Chiefs Prediction

This soft line is interesting. I understand the Chiefs aren’t as dominant as they’ve been in past years, and they allow opponents to hang around. The Chiefs have also been shaky on the road, especially, which includes two straight losses. The Chiefs haven’t won a road game since October 4.

However, the Falcons have fallen off a cliff over the last month and aren’t a team I’m excited to back. The Falcons offense has become Bijan or bust, while the defense has dropped to 22nd in total defense and 21st in scoring defense. This isn’t the same Falcons team we saw earlier in the season. Also, the Falcons are returning from Madrid last week, so who knows how they’ll handle that as well. I’d need more points to get off the Chiefs. This feels a bit too easy. Give me the Chiefs by a touchdown or two on Sunday.

Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview

The Kansas City Chiefs beat the Jets, lost to the Broncos, and they play the Cardinals next. The Kansas City Chiefs have won 6 of their last 8 games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 67.3 percent of his passes for 2,037 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Mahomes has been sacked 11 times this season. Travis Kelce has 482 yards and 2 touchdowns on 33 catches. Rashee Rice has 292 yards and 2 touchdowns on 25 catches. Xavier Worthy has 278 yards and 1 touchdown on 33 catches.

The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 137.8 yards per contest, and Kenneth Walker III leads the way with 872 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 17.9 points and 307.9 yards per game. Nick Bolton leads the Chiefs with 80 tackles. George Karlaftis has 4 sacks. Mansoor Delane has 1 interception.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons lost to the Buccaneers and Bengals, and they play the Vikings next. The Atlanta Falcons have lost 4 of their last 5 games. Michael Penix Jr. is completing 62.3 percent of his passes for 1,444 yards, 10 touchdowns, and 6 interceptions. Penix has been sacked 9 times this season. Drake London has 692 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 44 receptions. Jahan Dotson has 353 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns on 16 receptions. Bijan Robinson has 250 receiving yards and 1 touchdown on 31 receptions.

The Falcons average 137.2 rushing yards, and Bijan Robinson leads the team with 880 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, the Falcons are allowing 24.8 points and 345.8 total yards per game. The Falcons have forced 3 turnovers. Kendal Daniels leads the Falcons with 61 tackles. Za’Darius Smith leads the Falcons with 4.5 sacks. Jessie Bates III leads the Falcons with 1 interception.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

• The Chiefs have lost each of their last four November games as road favorites.
• The underdogs have won three of the Falcons’ last four Week 10 games.
• The Chiefs have failed to cover the spread in 12 of their last 13 November games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in each of the Chiefs’ last five games.
• The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six home games against AFC West opponents.
• The Falcons have won the first half in each of their last four November games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
• The Falcons have won the first quarter in each of their last six home games against AFC West opponents.

Why the Kansas City Chiefs will win

• The Falcons have lost each of their last nine day games against AFC opponents.
• The Chiefs have won 20 of their last 21 games as favorites against opponents on a losing streak.
• The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine day games against AFC opponents.
• The Chiefs have covered the spread in five of their last six Week 10 road games.
• The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five games as favorites.
• The Falcons have lost the first half in each of their last six Sunday games as underdogs.
• The Chiefs have won the first quarter in eight of their last nine November games against NFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Falcons’ last eight games against AFC West opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Chiefs’ last nine games without Jalen Royals have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Pitts has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Falcons’ last three games at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
• Michael Penix Jr. has recorded 213+ passing yards in seven of his last eight appearances at Mercedes-Benz Stadium.
• Khalil Herbert has recorded 23+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his four previous appearances in day games against AFC West opponents.
• Khalil Herbert has recorded 23+ rushing yards in each of his four previous appearances in day games against AFC West opponents.
• Austin Hooper has recorded 10+ receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances in regular season day games against AFC West opponents.
• Heading into Week 10, Bijan Robinson ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (880) this season.

Kansas City Chiefs Player Prop Facts

• Josh Downs has scored a touchdown in three of his last four November road appearances.
• Josh Downs has recorded 22+ receiving yards in each of his last six appearances on the East Coast.
• Emmett Johnson has recorded 24+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Chiefs’ last three games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 10, George Karlaftis ranks T1st in the AFC for passes defensed (9) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 10, the Falcons have suffered the most losses by a margin of 15+ points this season (3).
• Heading into Week 10, the Falcons have scored fewer than five points in two games this season – most in the NFL.
• Heading into Week 10, the Chiefs have recorded the most wins by a margin of 10+ points this season (4).
• Heading into Week 10, the Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game (1.5) this season.