Falcons vs Rams Prediction 12/29/25 NFL Picks Today

The Los Angeles Rams and Atlanta Falcons meet Monday in NFL action at Mercedes-Benz Stadium. Here’s a Falcons vs Rams Prediction. This article will include a Falcons vs Rams Pick.

Los Angeles Rams Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Rams beat the Lions, lost to the Seahawks, and they play the Cardinals next. The Rams have won 9 of their last 12 games. Matthew Stafford is completing 65.7 percent of his passes for 4,179 yards, 40 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Puka Nacua and Davante Adams have combined for 2,381 receiving yards and 22 touchdowns, while Colby Parkinson has 33 receptions.

The Los Angeles Rams ground game is averaging 126.3 yards per contest, and Kyren Williams leads the way with 1,100 yards and 10 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 19.9 points and 327.1 yards per game. Nate Landman leads the Los Angeles Rams with 123 tackles, Byron Young has 11 sacks and Emmanuel Forbes Jr. has 3 interceptions.

Atlanta Falcons Betting Preview

The Atlanta Falcons beat the Buccaneers and Cardinals, and they play the Saints next. The Atlanta Falcons have lost 6 of their last 9 games. Kirk Cousins is completing 62.2 percent of his passes for 1,415 yards, 8 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Kyle Pitts and Drake London have combined for 1,691 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Bijan Robinson has 71 receptions.

The Atlanta Falcons ground game is averaging 124.7 yards per contest, and Bijan Robinson leads the way with 1,250 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Atlanta is allowing 24 points and 323.3 yards per game. Kaden Elliss leads the Atlanta Falcons with 98 tackles, James Pearce Jr. has 8.5 sacks and Xavier Watts has 3 interceptions.

Why the Atlanta Falcons will win

• The Rams have lost each of their last seven Monday games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Falcons have won five of their last six Monday games as underdogs.
• The Rams have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six Week 17 road games.
• The Falcons have covered the spread in seven of their last eight Monday games as underdogs.
• The Falcons have won the first half in each of their last four games against the Rams following a win.
• The Falcons have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six Monday games played on the East Coast.
• The Falcons have won the first quarter in each of their last four games as home underdogs following a win.

Why the Los Angeles Rams will win

• The Rams have won each of their last eight games following a loss.
• The Falcons have lost each of their last eight games as heavy underdogs (>+7.0 points).
• The Rams have covered the spread in each of their last seven road games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Falcons have failed to cover the spread in eight of their last nine games as underdogs before a Division game.
• The Rams have won the first half in each of their last six Week 17 games as favorites against NFC opponents.
• The Rams have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 13 games against NFC South opponents.
• The Rams have won the first quarter in five of their last six December games against the Falcons.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Rams’ last six road games against NFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the Falcons’ last six Monday games have gone UNDER the total points line.

Atlanta Falcons Player Prop Facts

• Tyler Allgeier has recorded 24+ rushing yards in each of the Falcons’ last nine games as home underdogs.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 232+ passing yards in seven of his last eight home appearances against NFC West opponents.
• Bijan Robinson has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Falcons’ last eight games following a win.
• Kirk Cousins has recorded 22+ completions in seven of his last eight December appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Darnell Mooney has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in 14 of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Darnell Mooney has recorded 25+ receiving yards in 11 of his last 12 appearances following a win.
• Heading into Week 17, Kyle Pitts has recorded the equal-most receiving touchdowns in a single game this season (3 vs Buccaneers, Week 15).

Los Angeles Rams Player Prop Facts

• Matthew Stafford has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last five appearances against the Falcons.
• Matthew Stafford has recorded 272+ passing yards in eight of the Rams’ last 10 games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).
• Kyren Williams has recorded 69+ rushing yards in each of the Rams’ last 10 road games against NFC opponents.
• Kyren Williams has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Rams’ last nine December games as favorites.
• Kyren Williams has recorded 85+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Rams’ last seven December road games.
• Tutu Atwell has recorded 17+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with the Rams as favorites following a loss.
• Heading into Week 17, Matthew Stafford ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (4179) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Falcons – 15 different players have recorded 1.0 sacks or more in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Heading into Week 17, the Falcons rank 32nd in the NFL in average kickoff return (22.8 yards) this season.
• Rams – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Rams – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.

Falcons vs Rams Prediction

The Falcons continue to compete despite not having anything to play for, but this is a tougher task than the Bucs and Cardinals. The Rams are arguably the best team in the NFL, with the best scoring offense and fourth best scoring defense. The Rams are 11-4 ATS on the season.

The Rams have also had extra time to prepare for this game, and you know they’ll be eager to rebound from an awful loss to the Seahawks. With the Falcons not great on either side of the ball, this has the potential to get ugly. The Rams are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games when favorites of 6 or more points, and they’ve won those games by an average of 19.3 points. Give me the Rams in a road blowout.