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Giants vs Cowboys Prediction 1/4/26 NFL Picks Today

Dallas Cowboys (7-8-1) vs. NY Giants (3-13)
January 4, 2026 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: NY Giants +3.5; Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Dallas Cowboys and New York Giants meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Giants vs Cowboys Prediction. This article will include a Giants vs Cowboys Pick.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Chargers and beat the Commanders. The Dallas Cowboys have split their last 12 games. Dak Prescott is completing 67.4 percent of his passes for 4,482 yards, 30 touchdowns, and 10 interceptions. George Pickens and CeeDee Lamb have combined for 2,493 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Jake Ferguson has 81 receptions.

The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 124.6 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 1,201 yards and 11 touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 29.8 points and 376.8 yards per game. Kenneth Murray Jr. leads the Dallas Cowboys with 80 tackles, James Houston has 5.5 sacks and Donovan Wilson has 2 interceptions.

New York Giants Betting Preview

The New York Giants lost to the Vikings and beat the Raiders. The New York Giants have lost 9 of their last 10 games. Jaxson Dart is completing 63.2 percent of his passes for 2,042 yards, 13 touchdowns, and 5 interceptions. Wan’Dale Robinson and Theo Johnson have combined for 1,542 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Darius Slayton has 33 receptions.

The New York Giants ground game is averaging 127.1 yards per contest, and Tyrone Tracy Jr. leads the way with 637 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 26.4 points and 364.1 yards per game. Bobby Okereke leads the New York Giants with 137 tackles, Brian Burns has 16.5 sacks and Dru Phillips has 2 interceptions.

Why the New York Giants will win

  • The Cowboys have lost four of their last five Sunday games as favorites.
  • The underdogs have won four of the Cowboys’ last six games.
  • The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight Sunday games as favorites.
  • The Giants have covered the spread in each of their last four games as underdogs without Darius Slayton.
  • The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as favorites following a win.
  • The Cowboys have lost the first half in four of their last five road games following a win.
  • The Giants have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

  • The Cowboys have won each of their last nine games against the Giants.
  • The Giants have lost 18 of their last 19 games against NFC opponents.
  • The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last four games against starting rookie QBs.
  • The Giants have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs without Jameis Winston.
  • The Cowboys have won the first half in nine of their last 10 road games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games played as favorites on the East Coast.
  • The Giants have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Giants’ last seven January games against NFC East opponents have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the Cowboys’ last seven games as favorites following a road win have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the last eight games between NFC East teams have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Giants Player Prop Facts

  • Jaxson Dart has recorded 191+ passing yards in seven of his last eight Sunday appearances.
  • Tyrone Tracy has recorded 78+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Giants’ last four games against NFC opponents.
  • Darius Slayton has recorded 49+ receiving yards in four of his last five home appearances against NFC East opponents.
  • Tyrone Tracy has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of the Giants’ last six Sunday games.
  • Jaxson Dart has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five appearances with the Giants as underdogs against NFC opponents.
  • Jaxson Dart has recorded 19+ completions in four of his last five Sunday appearances.
  • Heading into Week 18, Ben Sauls has recorded the equal-most made field goals without a failed attempt this season (4).

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

  • George Pickens has scored a touchdown in five of his last six road appearances against teams that held a losing record.
  • Dak Prescott has recorded 294+ passing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last four games against NFC opponents.
  • CeeDee Lamb has recorded 105+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three January appearances.
  • Luke Schoonmaker has recorded 12+ receiving yards in four of the Cowboys’ last five games against NFC opponents.
  • Dak Prescott has recorded 10+ rushing yards in six of his last seven appearances with the Cowboys as favorites following a road win.
  • Dak Prescott has recorded 24+ completions in each of his last seven appearances with the Cowboys as favorites following a win.
  • Heading into Week 18, Dak Prescott ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (4482) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Giants – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
  • Giants – 10 different players have recorded 50+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
  • Cowboys – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.
  • Cowboys – two different players have recorded 90+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 18.

Giants vs Cowboys Prediction

I’m not a fan of laying points with teams that have nothing to play for, but it appears the Cowboys are eager to finish the season strong. The Cowboys keep playing their starters and trying to win. It looks like the Giants have quietly waved the white flag with sitting players here and there. I’m sure the Cowboys also want to continue their dominance over the Giants.

The Cowboys have won 9 straight games against the Giants and are 6-2-1 ATS during that stretch. The Giants haven’t beat the Cowboys since January 2021. Wonder Woman 1984 was in theaters back then. I’ll take the Cowboys by a touchdown, given the one-sided history.

Randy Chambers's Free Pick: Dallas Cowboys -3.5

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Randy Chambers

Randy has covered sports betting since 2014 and writes about everything from NFL to WNBA. Follow Randy Chambers on Twitter.

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