Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans Prediction 10-20-24 NFL Picks

In this article, we will formulate a Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, October 20th at Lambeau Field in Green Bay, Wisconsin. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 7  matchup.

Green Bay Packers Betting Preview

The Green Bay Packers are 4-2 this year after they defeated Arizona by a score of 34-13 in their last game. Green Bay jumped out to a 24-0 lead and they were able to cruise to the easy win. The Packers outgained Arizona by a total of 437-303, won the turnover battle 3-1, and went 7-12 on third down in the game. Jordan Love threw for 258 yards, four touchdowns, and one interception, while Josh Jacobs rushed for 62 yards. 

Green Bay has also defeated Indianapolis, Tennessee, and the Rams, but they do have losses against Philadelphia and Minnesota. The GB offense has scored 27 points per game with 233.7 passing yards and 167.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 20.2 points per game this season. The Packers have gone 40.5% on third down and 2-4 on fourth down through six games. Jordan Love has completed 58.9% of his passes for 1,131 yards, 12 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Josh Jacobs has rushed for 464 yards and one score. 

Houston Texans Betting Preview

The Houston Texans are 5-1 this season after they defeated New England by a score of 41-21 last week. Houston led 14-7 at the half and they scored the first 13 points in the second half to pull away in the win. The Texans outgained NE by a total of 368-291, won the turnover battle 4-1, and went 4-11 on third down in the game. CJ Stroud threw for 192 yards, three touchdowns, and one interception, while Joe Mixon rushed for 102 yards and one score.

Houston has also defeated Indianapolis, Chicago, Jacksonville, and Buffalo, but they do have a loss against Minnesota. The Houston offense has scored 23.8 points per game with 256.3 passing yards and 118.8 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.5 points per game this season. The Texans have gone 41.5% on third down and 5-8 on fourth down so far this season. CJ Stroud has completed 68.3% of his passes for 1,577 yards, 10 touchdowns, and four interceptions, while Stefon Diggs has caught 37 passes for 392 yards and three scores. 

Why the Texans will cover

• The Packers have lost four of their last five games as favorites against opponents on a winning streak.
• The Texans have won each of their last two Sunday games as road underdogs.
• The Packers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• The Texans have covered the spread in each of their last four Sunday games as road underdogs.
• The underdogs have won the first quarter in seven of the Packers’ last nine games.
• The Texans have won the first half in each of their last six games in October.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Texans’ last four October games as underdogs has gone UNDER the total points line.
• Six of the Packers’ last seven games at Lambeau Field following a home win have gone OVER the total points line.

Green Bay Packers Player Prop Facts

• Jordan Love has recorded 258+ passing yards in each of his last six Sunday home appearances.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 62+ rushing yards in each of his 11 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against AFC opponents.
• Jordan Love has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of his last 11 Sunday appearances.
• Josh Jacobs has recorded 87+ rushing and receiving yards in 12 of his last 13 appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC opponents.
• Romeo Doubs has scored the last touchdown in three of the Packers’ last four October games at Lambeau Field.
• Josh Jacobs has scored at least one touchdown in five of his last six October appearances against AFC opponents.
• Christian Watson has recorded 21+ receiving yards in eight of the Packers’ last nine games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 7, Xavier McKinney ranks 1st in the NFL in interceptions (5) this season.

Houston Texans Player Prop Facts

• C.J. Stroud has thrown two or more touchdowns in three of the Texans’ last four regular season road games.
• C.J. Stroud has recorded 260+ passing yards in each of his last four appearances following a road win.
• Cam Akers has recorded 15+ rushing yards in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Stefon Diggs has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last eight appearances against the Packers.
• Nico Collins has recorded 78+ receiving yards in each of his last seven regular-season appearances.
• Cam Akers has recorded 18+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 13 appearances with his team as an underdog.
• Heading into Week 7, Nico Collins ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (567) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Heading into Week 7, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered (8) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Packers rank 1st in the NFL in turnover differential (+9) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Texans rank T1st in the NFL in red zone percentage (75.0%) this season.
• Heading into Week 7, the Texans rank T2nd in the NFL in H1 win percentage (83.3) this season.

Green Bay Packers vs Houston Texans Prediction 

Both of these teams have started this season playing very well and they come into this matchup on small winning streaks, but Green Bay will have the home-field advantage in this game. The Packers dominated the Cardinals last week and their offense has been very strong to start the season. On the other side, Houston hasn’t been great offensively, but they have been solid on the defensive side of the ball. This should be a great game to watch between two very good teams, but I think this game could go either way, so I will take the points. Take Houston here.