Miami Dolphins (2-3) vs. Indianapolis Colts (3-3)
October 20, 2024 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Indianapolis Colts -3.5; Over/Under: +49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Miami Dolphins and the Indianapolis Colts will meet Sunday in NFL action from Lucas Oil Stadium. Here’s an Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins prediction. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Colts vs Dolphins pick.
Miami Dolphins Betting Preview
The Dolphins began their season with a 20-17 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars but then hit a losing streak. The next three games were all defeats; those came 31-10 versus the Bills, 24-3 versus the Seahawks, and 31-12 against the Titans.
Matched up against the rival New England Patriots in their last appearance back on October 6, Miami posted a 6-0 edge in the final quarter for a 15-10 victory. QB Tyler Huntley managed 194 yards and an interception, while Jaylen Wright led the rush on 13 carries for 86 yards.
Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview
Over on the Colts’ side, they lost their first two games of the season 29-27 versus the Texans and 16-10 against the Packers. Indianapolis would beat the Bears 21-16 and the Steelers 27-24 in the next pair before a 37-34 loss to the Jaguars.
Indianapolis got back into the win column versus the Titans last Sunday. The Colts posted 10 unanswered points in the final quarter for a 20-17 result. QB Joe Flacco finished with 189 yards, two touchdowns, and an interception. Tops in receiving was Josh Downs with seven grabs for 66 yards and a TD.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the Dolphins’ last four Sunday games has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Six of the last seven Sunday games at Lucas Oil Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
- Six of the Colts’ last seven Sunday games at Lucas Oil Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.
Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts
- Kylen Granson has recorded 11+ receiving yards in each of his last five October home appearances.
- Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his seven previous appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in five of his last six appearances with the Colts as favorites.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 91+ rushing yards in each of his last four appearances with the Colts as favorites.
- Jonathan Taylor has recorded 114+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC East opponents.
- Heading into Week 7, Alec Pierce ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Yards Per Reception (28.3) this season.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
- Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 11+ rushing yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC opponents.
- Raheem Mostert has scored two or more touchdowns in three of the Dolphins’ last four games following a road win.
- Jonnu Smith has recorded 27+ rushing and receiving yards in five of his last six October appearances.
- Durham Smythe has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of the Dolphins’ last six games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- Raheem Mostert has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Dolphins’ last six games following a road win.
Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins Prediction
I’m leaning toward the Colts. Probably not touching this one, though. Indianapolis was good on defense against the Titans in their latest win, holding the opposition to 241 yards (95 passing), 4.4 yards per play, and 16 first downs. The offense left some to be desired with 269 yards (189 passing) but ultimately the Colts got the job done. The 11 Titans penalties didn’t hurt, either.
As for Miami, they’ve had some time to rest and reflect on their effort versus the Patriots. The Dolphins mustered 372 yards (179 passing) and 24 first downs but also had a couple of turnovers and went just 2-of-11 on third-down tries. Miami also benefitted from penalties (12 for 105 yards) by the Pats. I like the Colts a little better here, but you could make a case either way. Should be a good game regardless.
