Indianapolis Colts vs Philadelphia Eagles 11/20/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Indianapolis Colts and Philadelphia Eagles clash Sunday in week 11 NFL action from Lucas Oil Stadium.

The Philadelphia Eagles come into this game off of their first loss of the year following a 32-21 loss to Washington last time out. Jalen Hurts has thrown for 2,217 yards, 14 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 67.9% passing while also rushing for 354 yards and 7 TDs. Miles Sanders has a team-high 710 rushing yards and 6 TDs while A.J. Brown has a team-high 725 receiving yards and 44 receptions this season. DeVonta Smith has 481 receiving yards while Dallas Goedert has 544 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, T.J. Edwards has a team-high 88 total tackles including 53 solo tackles while Philly’s defense as a unit has 29 sacks and 13 interceptions this season.

The Indianapolis Colts will look to build on their 25-20 win over Las Vegas in their last game. Matt Ryan has thrown for 2,230 yards, 10 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 68.9% passing while Jonathan Taylor has a team-high 609 rushing yards this season. Michael Pittman Jr. leads Indy’s receiving group with 61 grabs for 603 receiving yards while Alec Pierce has 393 receiving yards and Parris Campbell has 39 grabs for 373 receiving yards so far this season. On defense, Zaire Franklin has a team-high 97 total tackles including 63 solo tackles while Indy’s defense as a whole has 25 sacks and 4 interceptions.

Philadelphia is 2-12 ATS in their last 14 games following a double-digit loss at home and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games against a team with a losing record. Indianapolis is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 week 11 matchups and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win while the under is 5-0 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record.

I get the case to be made for the Colts at home, but this feels like a decent buy low spot on the Eagles. I still have some trust issues with Indianapolis, even though they’re buying into their new coach in Jeff Saturday and he will have his troops rallied and ready to go for this one. It still is the Indianapolis Colts, the same team that’s struggled their way through the first half of the year. I’m a bit weary that Philadelphia will fall into that Arizona grouping where you start off hot then falter once you take your first loss, but even with that being a potential outcome, I still think the more likely one is that Philly wins by a touchdown. Give me the Eagles here.