NFL Picks

Jaguars vs Colts Prediction 12/7/25 NFL Picks Today

Indianapolis Colts (8-4) vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (8-4)
December 7, 2025 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Jacksonville Jaguars +1.5; Over/Under: 47.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article we will formulate a Jaguars vs Colts prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, December 7th at EverBank Stadium in Jacksonville, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 14 matchup.

Jacksonville Jaguars Betting Preview

The Jacksonville Jaguars are 8-4 this season after they defeated Tennessee by a score of 25-3 in their last game. Jacksonville trailed 3-0 in the first quarter, but they led 18-3 at halftime and outscored the Titans 7-0 in the second half for the lopsided win. The Jaguars out gained Tennessee by a total of 272-188, went 3-13 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 2-0 in the game. Trevor Lawrence went 16-27 for 229 yards and two touchdowns, while Travis Etienne Jr rushed for 28 yards on 12 carries. Jakobi Meyers led the receivers with six catches for 90 yards and one score in the win. 

Prior to that game, Jacksonville defeated the Cardinals by a score of 27-24 and the Chargers by a score of 35-6. The Jaguars have won three games in a row and they are currently first in the AFC South standings. Jacksonville has scored 24.3 points per game with 202.8 passing yards and 123.3 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 21.1 points against per game this season. Trevor Lawrence has thrown for 2,636 yards, 16 touchdowns, and 11 interceptions, while Travis Etienne Jr has rushed 181 times for 843 yards and five scores this season. 

Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

The Indianapolis Colts are 8-4 this year after they lost to Houston by a score of 20-16 in their last game. Indianapolis trailed 3-0 after the first quarter and 10-6 at halftime, but they did cut the deficit to 20-16 in the fourth, before getting stopped on downs late in the game for the loss. The Colts were out gained by a total of 364-281, went 3-10 on third downs, and won the turnover battle by a total of 1-0 in the game. Daniel Jones went 14-27 for 201 yards and two touchdowns, while Jonathan Taylor rushed 21 times for 85 yards. Alec Pierce led the receivers with four catches for 78 yards and one score in the loss. 

Prior to that game, Indianapolis lost to the Chiefs by a score of 23-20, but did beat the Falcons by a score of 31-25 before that. The Colts have lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the AFC South standings. Indianapolis has scored 29.8 points per game with 241.0 passing yards and 134.4 rushing yards per game, while they have allowed 20.8 points against per game this season. Daniel Jones has thrown for 3,041 yards, 19 touchdowns, and seven interceptions, while Jonathan Taylor has rushed for 1,282 yards and 15 scores on 226 carries this year. 

Why the Indianapolis Colts will win

  • The Colts have won each of their last five December games against AFC South opponents.
  • The Jaguars have lost each of their four previous games without Josh Hines-Allen.
  • The Jaguars have failed to cover the spread in seven of their eight previous games without Brenton Strange.
  • The Colts have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against AFC South opponents.
  • The Jaguars have lost the first half in eight of their last nine games as home underdogs following a win.
  • The Colts have scored the first touchdown in each of their last 10 games.
  • The Colts have won the first quarter in each of their last eight road games against AFC opponents.

Total Points Facts

  • Each of the Colts’ last six December games as favorites have gone OVER the total points line.
  • Seven of the Jaguars’ last eight Sunday games at EverBank Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
  • Each of the last five Sunday games at EverBank Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

Jacksonville Jaguars Player Prop Facts

  • Brian Thomas has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Jaguars’ last four games as underdogs against teams on a losing streak.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 22+ completions in four of his five previous December home appearances.
  • Brian Thomas has recorded 49+ receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances with the Jaguars as underdogs following a win.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 229+ passing yards in six of his last seven December appearances against AFC opponents.
  • Trevor Lawrence has recorded 18+ rushing yards in five of the Jaguars’ last six games.
  • Jakobi Meyers has recorded 48+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his seven previous appearances in Florida.
  • Heading into Week 14, Trevor Lawrence ranks T1st in the league for batted pass attempts (15) this season.

Indianapolis Colts Player Prop Facts

  • Jonathan Taylor has scored the first touchdown in each of his last three December appearances with the Colts a road favorites against AFC opponents.
  • Jonathan Taylor has scored two touchdowns in four of his last five December appearances with the Colts as road favorites.
  • Jonathan Taylor has recorded 96+ rushing yards in each of his last six December appearances with the Colts as favorites.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has recorded 64+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with the Colts as road favorites against AFC South opponents.
  • Jonathan Taylor has scored at least one touchdown in each of his 10 previous December appearances with the Colts as favorites.
  • Jonathan Taylor has recorded 117+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Colts’ last six games against AFC South opponents.
  • Michael Pittman Jr. has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four appearances with the Colts as road favorites against AFC South opponents.
  • Heading into Week 14, Jonathan Taylor ranks 1st in the NFL in rushing yards (1282) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • Jaguars – five different players have recorded 90+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 14.
  • Heading into Week 14, the Jaguars rank 1st in the NFL in rushing yards allowed per game (82.4) this season.
  • Heading into Week 14, the Colts rank 1st in the NFL in points per game (29.8) this season.
  • Heading into Week 14, the Colts rank 32nd in the NFL in total punt yards (1434) this season.

Jaguars vs Colts Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this matchup with an 8-4 record, so this is a huge game in the AFC South. Indianapolis is just 2-3 on the road this year and they have lost three of their last four games overall. The Colts have seen their offense slow down over the last month and only scored 16 points at home last week. Jacksonville has won three games in a row and they have scored at least 25 points in five straight games. These two teams are trending in opposite directions, but I still feel like the Colts are the better team and I will take them on the road here. 

David Racey is 79-58 (58%) in the NFL this season and he is currently #2 on the NFL Leaderboard. Click here for his premium plays for this week!

David Racey's Free Pick: Colts ML

Need More? Get Premium Picks

David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

Related Articles

Back to top button