Jets vs Cowboys Prediction 10/5/25 NFL Picks Today

The Dallas Cowboys and New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Jets vs Cowboys Prediction. This article will include a Jets vs Cowboys Pick.

Dallas Cowboys Betting Preview

The Dallas Cowboys lost to the Bears, tied with the Packers, and they play the Panthers next. The Dallas Cowboys are 1-4-1 SU in their last 6 games. Dak Prescott is completing 72.9 percent of his passes for 1,119 yards, 6 touchdowns, and 3 interceptions. George Pickens and Jake Ferguson have combined for 523 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while CeeDee Lamb has 16 receptions.

The Dallas Cowboys ground game is averaging 123 yards per contest, and Javonte Williams leads the way with 312 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Dallas is allowing 33 points and 420.5 yards per game. Jack Sanborn leads the Dallas Cowboys with 32 tackles, James Houston has 2 sacks and Donovan Wilson has 1 interception.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets lost to the Buccaneers and Dolphins, and play the Broncos next. The New York Jets have lost 15 of their last 18 games. Justin Fields is completing 65 percent of his passes for 471 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Garrett Wilson and Breece Hall have combined for 419 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Mason Taylor has 11 receptions.

The New York Jets ground game is averaging 192.7 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 238 yards on 52 carries. Defensively, New York is allowing 31 points and 440.3 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 40 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 2 sacks and Sauce Gardner has 3 pass deflections.

Dallas Cowboys @ New York Jets Betting Trends: Week 5

Why the New York Jets will win

• The Cowboys have lost three of their last four Sunday games as favorites.
• The Jets have won each of their last two October games as underdogs against NFC East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the spread in seven of the Cowboys’ last eight games.
• The Cowboys have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four Sunday games as favorites.
• The home team has won the first half in nine of the Jets’ last 10 games.
• The Jets have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five home games against NFC East opponents.
• The Cowboys have lost the first quarter in each of their last four Sunday games as favorites.

Why the Dallas Cowboys will win

• The Jets have lost each of their last 10 games as underdogs.
• The favorites have won each of the Jets’ last nine games.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in each of their last nine games at MetLife Stadium against teams that held a losing record.
• The Cowboys have covered the spread in each of their last nine October games as favorites.
• The Jets have lost the first half in each of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
• The Cowboys have scored the first touchdown in eight of their last nine games played as favorites on the East Coast.
• The Jets have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Cowboys’ last seven road games after coming off overtime have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Eight of the Jets’ last nine games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
• Each of the last three Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Garrett Wilson has scored a touchdown in four of the Jets’ last five games as underdogs.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 197+ passing yards in five of his last six appearances as a starter.
• Justin Fields has recorded 52+ rushing yards in each of his four previous October appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC East opponents.
• Allen Lazard has recorded 13+ receiving yards in 14 of his last 16 appearances with his team as an underdog against NFC opponents.
• Breece Hall has recorded 85+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last four October games at MetLife Stadium.
• Tyrod Taylor has recorded 23+ completions in each of his last three appearances as a starter.
• Heading into Week 5, Nick Folk ranks T1st in the NFL in 50+ yard field goals made (4) this season.

Dallas Cowboys Player Prop Facts

• George Pickens has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four Sunday appearances.
• George Pickens has recorded 68+ receiving yards in each of his last seven Sunday appearances.
• Miles Sanders has recorded 29+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his 16 previous appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 255+ passing yards in each of the Cowboys’ last six games as favorites against AFC opponents.
• Miles Sanders has recorded 28+ rushing yards in each of his 16 previous appearances with his team as a road favorite.
• Dak Prescott has recorded 25+ completions in 11 of the Cowboys’ last 12 Sunday games as favorites.
• Heading into Week 5, Dak Prescott ranks 1st in the NFL in passing yards (1119) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Jets – one different players have recorded 100+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Cowboys – five different players have recorded 60+ receiving yards in a game this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.
• Cowboys – two different players have recorded 100+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 5.

Jets vs Cowboys Prediction

The Cowboys’ defense is a concern, as you can argue they’re the worst defense in the league through four games. However, the Jets don’t have the explosive offense to scare anybody, as they’re extremely limited through the air and the ground game is only effective when the score is close. The Jets are also undisplaced in terms of penalties, and they’re -7 in the turnover margin, which is the worst in the league.

The Jets are not only a bad team, but they beat themselves as well. I get the Cowboys have defensive issues and the offense won’t have CeeDee Lamb for another week, but this line is soft. The Jets are getting respect they don’t deserve. Give me the Cowboys and the surprisingly small chalk.