Jets vs Patriots Prediction 12/28/25 NFL Picks Today

The New England Patriots and New York Jets meet Sunday in NFL action at MetLife Stadium. Here’s a Jets vs Patriots Prediction. This article will include a Jets vs Patriots Pick.

New England Patriots Betting Preview

The New England Patriots beat the Ravens, lost to the Bills, and play the Dolphins next. The New England Patriots have won 11 of their last 12 games. Drake Maye is completing 70.9 percent of his passes for 3,947 yards, 25 touchdowns, and 8 interceptions. Stefon Diggs and Hunter Henry have combined for 1,532 receiving yards and 9 touchdowns, while Mack Hollins has 46 receptions.

The New England Patriots ground game is averaging 119.5 yards per contest, and TreVeyon Henderson leads the way with 776 yards and 7 touchdowns. Defensively, New England is allowing 20 points and 302.1 yards per game. Robert Spillane leads the New England Patriots with 97 tackles, Harold Landry III has 8.5 sacks and Marcus Jones has 3 interceptions.

New York Jets Betting Preview

The New York Jets lost to the Jaguars and Saints, and play the Bills next. The New York Jets have lost 5 of their last 6 games. Brady Cook is completing 59.2 percent of his passes for 527 yards, 1 touchdown, and 6 interceptions. Garrett Wilson and Mason Taylor have combined for 764 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Breece Hall has 34 receptions.

The New York Jets ground game is averaging 124.2 yards per contest, and Breece Hall leads the way with 954 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, New York is allowing 28.4 points and 342.3 yards per game. Jamien Sherwood leads the New York Jets with 140 tackles, Will McDonald IV has 8 sacks and Brandon Stephens has 9 pass deflections.

Why the New York Jets will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Jets’ last five games at MetLife Stadium.
• The Patriots have lost four of their last five December games as road favorites against AFC East opponents.
• The home team has covered the spread in nine of the Jets’ last 10 Week 17 games.
• The Patriots have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four games at MetLife Stadium before a Division game.
• The Jets have won the first half in 11 of their last 12 Week 17 home games.
• The Patriots have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as heavy favorites (>-7.0 points).

Why the New England Patriots will win

• The Patriots have won each of their last 12 games against the Jets following a road win.
• The Jets have lost each of their last 11 Sunday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Patriots have covered the spread in seven of their last eight road games.
• The Jets have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games in December.
• The Patriots have won the first half in each of their last 10 games following a win.
• The Patriots have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five Week 17 games.
• The Jets have lost the first quarter in seven of their last eight games against AFC East opponents.

Total Points Facts

• Each of the Patriots’ last seven Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone UNDER the total points line.
• Nine of the Jets’ last 10 games without Jermaine Johnson have gone OVER the total points line.
• Six of the last seven Sunday games at MetLife Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

New York Jets Player Prop Facts

• Breece Hall has recorded 58+ rushing yards in three of the Jets’ last four games against the Patriots.
• Breece Hall has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in three of the Jets’ last four games against the Patriots.
• Adonai Mitchell has recorded 42+ receiving yards in each of the Jets’ last four games following a loss.
• Ja’Sir Taylor has recorded the equal-most defensive targets of any player (2) yet to allow a completion this season.

New England Patriots Player Prop Facts

• Stefon Diggs has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC East opponents.
• Drake Maye has recorded 259+ passing yards in seven of the Patriots’ last eight games.
• Rhamondre Stevenson has recorded 30+ rushing yards in 10 of his 11 previous December appearances against AFC opponents.
• Stefon Diggs has recorded 58+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road favorite against AFC East opponents.
• Austin Hooper has recorded 12+ receiving yards in each of his last 18 December road appearances.
• Drake Maye has recorded 21+ completions in each of the Patriots’ last four road games against AFC opponents.
• Heading into Week 17, Drake Maye has the highest completion percentage in a single game (min. 10 ATT) this season (91.3% vs Titans, Week 7).

Matchup/League Facts

• Jets – 16 different players have recorded at least one touchdown this season – most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Jets – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Patriots – two different players have recorded 80+ rushing yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.
• Patriots – seven different players have recorded 70+ receiving yards in a game this season – equal-most in the NFL, heading into Week 17.

Jets vs Patriots Prediction

The Patriots have the ability to lay the wood here, as they’re top-10 in scoring offense and scoring defense. The Jets are awful on both sides of the ball. However, this is a letdown spot for the Patriots after a big road win over the Ravens. It should also be a win and get out situation for the Pats, who have to be thinking playoff success.

This is a division game where both teams know each other well, and the underdog has covered 3 of the last 4 meetings. Also, despite all the winning, this will be just the second time since 2023 where the Patriots are a double-digit favorite. Even with a weak schedule, oddsmakers haven’t believed in the Patriots like this all season. I want the points with the Jets if forced to pick.