NFL Picks

Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos 1/1/23 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Denver Broncos (4-11) vs. Kansas City Chiefs (12-3)
January 1, 2023 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Kansas City Chiefs -13.5 / Denver Broncos +13.5; Over/Under: +43.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The Denver Broncos and the Kansas City Chiefs meet in week 17 NFL action from Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The Denver Broncos will look to bounce back from a 51-14 beatdown loss at the hands of the Rams in their last game. Russell Wilson’s thrown for 3,019 yards, 12 touchdowns and 9 interceptions on 58.9% passing while Latavius Murray has 544 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns. Jerry Jeudy leads Denver’s receiving group with 55 grabs for 780 receiving yards and 6 TDs while Courtland Sutton has 752 receiving yards this season. On defense, Denver’s group has combined for 35 sacks and 14 interceptions while Alex Singleton has a team-high 144 total tackles including a team-high 87 solo tackles so far this season.

The Kansas City Chiefs will look to build on a 24-10 win over Seattle in their last game. Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 4,720 yards, 37 touchdowns and 11 interceptions on 65.9% passing while Isiah Pacheco has a team-high 735 rushing yards and 3 touchdowns. Travis Kelce leads KC’s receiving group with 97 grabs for 1,257 receiving yards and 12 TDs while JuJu Smith-Schuster has 877 receiving yards as well. Marquez Valdes-Scantling also has 632 receiving yards and Jerick McKinnon has 460 receiving yards while four more Chiefs each have 200+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Nick Bolton has a team-high 154 total tackles with a pair of sacks while Chris Jones has a team-high 12 sacks this season.

Denver is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games and 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games against the AFC while the under is 5-1 in their last 6 road games. Kansas City is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall and 0-5 ATS in their last 5 division games while the over is 7-3 in their last 10 games following an ATS win.

I get the case to be made for the Broncos and the points here as the Broncos could be fired up and get a bit of a boost from the interim coach after Nate Hackett got fired on Monday and the Chiefs haven’t been all that good in the favorite role this season. However, there’s still some motivation for the Chiefs to go for the top seed in the AFC here and bottom line is I don’t trust this Broncos offense for much of anything to be able to keep pace with Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs here. Give me the Chiefs laying the points.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Kansas City -13.5

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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