Kansas City Chiefs vs Denver Broncos prediction 10-12-23 NFL Picks
Kansas City Chiefs (4-1) vs Denver Broncos (1-4)
2023-10-12 20:15:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Kansas City Chiefs -10.5 -- Over/Under: 49
(Get latest betting odds)
The Denver Broncos and Kansas City Chiefs meet Thursday in week 6 NFL action at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos look for their second road win to rebound from a poor 1-4 start. The Broncos have lost 9 of their last 10 road games. Russell Wilson is completing 66.9 percent of his passes for 1,210 yards, 11 touchdowns and 2 interceptions. Marvin Mims Jr. and Courtland Sutton have combined for 475 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Jerry Jeudy has 17 receptions. The Denver Broncos ground game is averaging 104.2 yards per contest, and Jaleel McLaughlin leads the way with 160 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, Denver is allowing 36.2 points and 450.6 yards per game. Alex Singleton leads the Denver Broncos with 44 tackles, Nik Bonitto has 5.5 sacks and Kareem Jackson has 2 interceptions.
Denver Broncos Team Facts
- The Broncos have lost each of their last 10 road games against AFC West opponents.
- The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in each of their last six games.
- The Broncos have won the first quarter in each of their last four October games as road underdogs against AFC West opponents.
- The home team has won the first half in seven of the Broncos’ last eight games.
- Each of the Broncos’ last seven games following a loss have gone OVER the total points line.
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview
The Kansas City Chiefs look for a fifth straight win to improve to 5-1 on the season. The Chiefs have won 6 of their last 7 home games. Patrick Mahomes is completing 66.8 percent of his passes for 1,287 yards, 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Travis Kelce and Justin Watson have combined for 441 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns, while Rashee Rice has 17 receptions. The Kansas City Chiefs ground game is averaging 123 yards per contest, and Isiah Pacheco leads the way with 325 yards and 3 touchdowns. Defensively, Kansas City is allowing 16 points and 301.4 yards per game. Drue Tranquill leads the Kansas City Chiefs with 32 tackles, Chris Jones has 4.5 sacks and Mike Edwards has 1 interception.
Kansas City Chiefs Team Facts
- The Chiefs have won each of their last 15 games against the Broncos.
- The road team has covered the spread in each of the Chiefs’ last seven Week 6 games.
- Reigning Super Bowl Champions have won the first quarter in each of their last six Week 6 games.
- The Chiefs have won the first half in each of their last eight games at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium.
- The Chiefs have scored the first touchdown in each of their last six games against AFC opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Chiefs rank 1st in the NFL in 3rd down percentage this season (51.5%).
- The Chiefs rank T1st in the NFL in H1 win percentage this season (80.0).
- The Broncos rank 32nd in the NFL in points allowed per game this season (36.2).
- The Broncos rank 32nd in the NFL in yards allowed per game this season (450.6).
Randy’s Pick
Double-digit chalk with a short week and the possibility of Travis Kelce not playing isn’t ideal. However, the Broncos have had zero success against the Chiefs over the last several years, and they enter this game ranked dead last in total defense, rush defense and scoring defense. Yes, those numbers are inflated a bit from that game against the Dolphins, but they also just allowed more than 400 yards to the Jets. Kelce or no Kelce, the Chiefs should have their way in this game. It’s the Chiefs or pass for me.