Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-6) vs. LA Chargers (8-5)
December 15, 2024 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: LA Chargers -3; Over/Under: +43.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Los Angeles Chargers meet Sunday in week 15 NFL action at SoFi Stadium. Here’s an LA Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction. This article will include an LA Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Pick.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers beat the Raiders and Panthers, and they play the Cowboys next. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won 4 of their last 6 road games. Baker Mayfield is completing 70.2 percent of his passes for 3,329 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 13 interceptions. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin have combined for 1,166 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns, while Cade Otton has 57 receptions.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers ground game is averaging 138.3 yards per contest, and Bucky Irving leads the way with 735 yards and 6 touchdowns. Defensively, Tampa Bay is allowing 23.8 points and 368.5 yards per game. Lavonte David leads the Tampa Bay Buccaneers with 92 tackles, Vita Vea has 6 sacks and Zyon McCollum has 2 interceptions.
Los Angeles Chargers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Chargers lost to the Chiefs, beat the Falcons, and they play the Broncos next. The Los Angeles Chargers have won 4 of their last 6 home games. Justin Herbert is completing 63.9 percent of his passes for 2,764 yards, 14 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Ladd McConkey and Joshua Palmer have combined for 1,307 receiving yards and 5 touchdowns, while Will Dissly has 43 receptions.
The Los Angeles Chargers ground game is averaging 111.5 yards per contest, and Gus Edwards leads the way with 274 yards and 2 touchdowns. Defensively, Los Angeles is allowing 15.9 points and 323.7 yards per game. Daiyan Henley leads the Los Angeles Chargers with 122 tackles, Tuli Tuipulotu has 7.5 sacks and Elijah Molden has 3 interceptions.
Why the Tampa Bay Buccaneers will win
- The Buccaneers have won 10 of their last 11 road games in December.
- The Chargers have lost seven of their last eight Sunday games against opponents on a winning streak.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Buccaneers have covered the spread in each of their last five road games against AFC West opponents.
- The Buccaneers have won the first half in five of their last six games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
- The Buccaneers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last four road games.
- The Chargers have lost the first quarter in five of their last six games as favorites in California.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Gus Edwards has recorded 52+ rushing and receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 229+ passing yards in each of his last seven appearances with the Chargers as favorites following a road loss.
- D.J. Chark Jr. has recorded 43+ receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
- Quentin Johnston has scored at least one touchdown in four of his last five Sunday appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
- Gus Edwards has recorded 52+ rushing yards in seven of his last eight appearances with his team as a favorite against NFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 21+ completions in 16 of his last 18 appearances with the Chargers as favorites following a loss.
- Justin Herbert has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ last seven home games against NFC opponents.
- Marcus Maye is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Player Prop Facts
- Rachaad White has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Buccaneers’ last four games as underdogs.
- Rachaad White has recorded 36+ rushing yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last 10 December games.
- Rachaad White has recorded 53+ rushing and receiving yards in each of the Buccaneers’ last eight December games.
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 283+ passing yards in four of the Buccaneers’ last five December games.
- Rachaad White has recorded 17+ receiving yards in seven of the Buccaneers’ last eight December games.
- Baker Mayfield has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Buccaneers’ last eight games as slight underdogs (<+3.5 points).
- Baker Mayfield has recorded 24+ completions in four of his last five December appearances with his team as an underdog against AFC opponents.
- Heading into Week 15, Bucky Irving ranks 1st amongst qualified players for catch rate (94.7%) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 15, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in points allowed per game (15.9) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Chargers rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 opponent points per game (2.2) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Buccaneers rank 1st in the NFL in Q1 points per game (7.5) this season.
- Heading into Week 15, the Buccaneers rank T1st in the NFL in Q1 win percentage (69.2) this season.
LA Chargers vs Tampa Bay Buccaneers Prediction
The LA Chargers are getting the edge from oddsmakers because of home-field, but we know they don’t have much of a home-field advantage. The Chargers are banged up on the offensive side of the ball, and it’s forcing Herbert to play damn near perfect ball. The Bucs are coming off three straight wins and the offense remains third in total offense and fifth in scoring. The Chargers also find themselves in close games constantly, so points are always intriguing on the other side. Seven of the Charger’s last 10 games have been decided by 7 or fewer points. Give me the Bucs and the free-field goal.
