NFL Picks

LA Rams vs Miami Dolphins Player Prop Picks 11-11-24 Picks

Miami Dolphins (2-6) vs. LA Rams (4-4)
November 11, 2024 8:15 pm EDT
The Line: LA Rams -1; Over/Under: +49
(Get latest betting odds)

LA Rams vs Miami Dolphins Player Prop Picks 11-11-24

We have a fun matchup on Monday night between the Los Angeles Rams and the Miami Dolphins, each team enters with distinct strengths and challenges. The Rams’ offense has shown moderate success through Matthew Stafford’s 246.1 passing yards per game and Kyren Williams’ strong rushing performance with eight touchdowns. Key players such as Demarcus Robinson and Cooper Kupp also contribute to the passing game, and the Rams are predicted to rely on this balanced attack. However, their defense has struggled against both the run and pass, which could make it difficult to contain the Dolphins’ offense.

The Dolphins, while ranked 24th in passing yards, benefit from a potent rushing game led by Devon Achane. Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has a strong completion rate (72.7%) and works with star receivers Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle, though Hill’s questionable status due to a wrist injury could impact the game. Miami’s defense has been solid, particularly against the pass, which may pose challenges for Stafford and the Rams’ receivers. Notably, Miami has struggled on the road this season, which could affect their performance in this away game at SoFi Stadium.


 

Kyren Williams 2+ Touchdowns

Kyren Williams has been productive for the Los Angeles Rams in the 2024 NFL season. Over eight games, he has rushed for 602 yards on 161 attempts, averaging 3.7 yards per carry, with a long run of 30 yards and a notable eight rushing touchdowns. As a receiver, Williams has contributed 20 receptions on 25 targets for 116 yards, averaging 5.8 yards per catch, and added two receiving touchdowns. Williams has been instrumental in the Rams’ offense, providing consistency in both rushing and passing games. His efforts have helped him accumulate impressive combined stats as a versatile back.

You should be able to get this line around +240 ​on the odds which in my opinion is great value. Kyren Williams scored a touchdown every game this season until the last two weeks. This is a great spot for him to get back in the end zone and I think there’s a good chance we can see him get in there twice. This Dolphin’s defense has been susceptible to giving up big plays on the ground. With Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back they’ll garner a lot of attention which will open things up for Kyren.

Jaylen Waddle Over 3.5 Rec

Jaylen Waddle has posted solid receiving numbers in the 2024 NFL season as the Miami Dolphins’ second primary receiver. Through 8 games, he has recorded 33 receptions for 446 yards, averaging 13.5 yards per catch, with 3 receiving touchdowns. His role has mainly been to create opportunities in the intermediate range, complementing Tyreek Hill’s deep-play explosiveness.

It’s been a quiet few weeks for Waddle as we saw him only get two receptions last week and only one reception a couple weeks ago against the Colts. I expect him to get back to his normal self in this game. With the way both these teams play, I expect a lot of points and Tua dropping back to pass at a high rate. 3.5 receptions is just too low for a guy like Waddle who has the ability to get open like he does.

Matt Stafford Over 257.5 Pass Yards

Stafford has demonstrated strong passing abilities, accumulating 1,969 yards with nine touchdowns over eight games. His completion rate stands at 65.9%, and he averages 246.1 passing yards per game with a 7.1 yards-per-attempt average. Stafford has thrown six interceptions and has an 88.6 passer rating overall. He has faced considerable pressure, taking 17 sacks for a loss of 115 yards, which has influenced his production in certain games.
Since getting Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua back we’ve seen two productive games from Matt Stafford passing over 260 yards in both games. He should replicate a similar performance in this one against a Dolphins defense that’s nothing to brag about. We have a total of 49 so I expect a high-scoring affair which will result in a good statical game from Stafford.

Brad

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