Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns Prediction 9-29-24 Picks

David Racey September 24, 2024

Cleveland Browns (1-2) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (1-2)
September 29, 2024 4:25 pm EDT
The Line: Las Vegas Raiders -1; Over/Under: +37.5
(Get latest betting odds)

In this article, we will formulate a Las Vegas Raiders vs Cleveland Browns prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, September 29th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this Week 4 matchup.

Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview

The Las Vegas Raiders are 1-2 this year after they lost to Carolina by a score of 36-22 last week. Las Vegas tied the game at seven in the first quarter, but they allowed the next 26 points in the game for the loss. The Raiders were outgained by a total of 437-331, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 3-11 on third down in the game. Gardner Minshew threw for 214 yards, one touchdown, and one interception, while Zamir White rushed for 34 yards on 10 carries.

Las Vegas lost to the Chargers by a score of 22-10 in their first game, but they did win their second game by a score of 26-23 over the Ravens. The Las Vegas offense has scored 19.3 points per game with 244.7 passing yards and 51 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 27 points per game this season. The Raiders have gone 32.4% on third down and 1-5 on fourth down so far this season. Gardner Minshew has completed 73.7% of his passes for 747 yards, three touchdowns, and three interceptions, while Davante Adams has caught 18 passes for 209 yards and one score.

Cleveland Browns Betting Preview

The Cleveland Browns are 1-2 this season after they lost to the Giants by a score of 21-15 in their last game. Cleveland led 7-0 early in the first quarter, but they allowed the next 21 points in the game. Cleveland did have a couple of chances to take the lead in the fourth, but couldn’t get it done. The Browns were outgained by a total of 340-217, tied the turnover battle at two, and went 4-14 on third down in the game. Deshaun Watson threw for 196 yards and two touchdowns, while Amari Cooper caught seven passes for 86 yards and two scores.

Cleveland lost to Dallas by a score of 33-17 in their first game of the season, but they did bounce back with an 18-13 win over Jacksonville in week two. The Cleveland offense has scored 16.7 points per game with 152.3 passing yards and 95.7 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 22.3 points per game this season. The Browns have gone 18.6% on third down and 7-11 on fourth down through three games. Deshaun Watson has completed 57.8% of his passes for 551 yards, three touchdowns, and two interceptions, while Jerry Jeudy has caught 12 passes for 125 yards and one score.

Why the Browns will beat the Raiders

The underdogs have won each of the Browns’ last four games.
The Raiders have lost each of their last four September games as favorites.
The Browns have covered the spread in each of their last six road games following a home loss.
The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in each of their last five September games as favorites.
The Raiders have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as favorites following a home loss.
The Raiders have lost the first half in seven of their last eight September games against AFC opponents.
The Browns have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 12 games as underdogs following a loss.

Total Points Facts

Ten of the Browns’ last 11 road games have gone OVER the total points line.
Each of the Raiders’ last four games as favorites following a home loss has gone OVER the total points line.
Four of the last five Sunday games at Allegiant Stadium have gone OVER the total points line.

Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts

Jakobi Meyers has scored the first touchdown in three of the Raiders’ last four Sunday games as home favorites.
Alexander Mattison has recorded 44+ rushing yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite following a loss.
Alexander Mattison has recorded 44+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last eight regular-season appearances with his team as a favorite.
Jakobi Meyers has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Raiders’ last seven games as favorites.
Tre Tucker has recorded 52+ receiving yards in each of the Raiders’ last five games as home favorites.
Gardner Minshew II has recorded 25+ completions in each of his last three September appearances against AFC opponents.
Gardner Minshew II ranks 1st in the AFC for passing yards (747) this season.

Cleveland Browns Player Prop Facts

Deshaun Watson has scored the last touchdown in three of his last four regular-season appearances against AFC West opponents.
Nick Chubb has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last four appearances against AFC West opponents.
David Njoku has recorded 54+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances against AFC opponents.
Nick Chubb has scored two or more touchdowns in three of his last four September appearances with the Browns as underdogs against AFC opponents.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 213+ passing yards in each of his eight previous appearances against AFC West opponents.
Nick Chubb has recorded 80+ rushing yards in each of his eight previous appearances with the Browns as underdogs following a home loss.
Nick Chubb has recorded 90+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven regular-season appearances against AFC West opponents.
Deshaun Watson has recorded 20+ completions in each of his last six appearances against AFC West opponents.
Deshaun Watson has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of his two previous appearances on the West Coast.
Juan Thornhill is just two away from 10 career interceptions.

Matchup/League Facts

The Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (51.0) this season.
The Raiders rank 1st in the NFL in Q4 points per game (10.3) this season.
The Browns rank 1st in the NFL in punt return yards per game (45.0) this season.
The Browns rank 1st in the NFL in total punt yards (881) this season.