Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction 11-24-24 NFL Picks
Denver Broncos (6-5) vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-8)
November 24, 2024 4:05 pm EDT
The Line: Las Vegas Raiders +5.5; Over/Under: +41.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos prediction for this NFL game on Sunday, November 24th at Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nevada. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this week 12 matchup.
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview
The Las Vegas Raiders are 2-8 this year after they lost to Miami by a score of 34-19 in their last game. Las Vegas trailed 10-6 at halftime and just 24-19 in the fourth quarter, but they allowed 10 late points in the loss. The Raiders were outgained by a total of 353-328, lost the turnover battle 1-0, and went 8-14 on third down in the game. Gardner Minshew threw for 282 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception, while Brock Bowers caught 13 passes for 126 yards and one touchdown.
Prior to that loss, the Raiders lost five straight games and scored 20 points or fewer in four of them. The LV offense has scored 18.7 points per game with 209.8 passing yards and 75.2 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 28.5 points per game this season. Gardner Minshew has completed 67.4% of his passes for 1,783 yards, eight touchdowns, and nine interceptions, while Brock Bowers has caught 70 passes for 706 yards and three scores this year.
Denver Broncos Betting Preview
The Denver Broncos are 6-5 this season after they defeated Atlanta by a score of 38-6 in their last game. Denver led 21-6 at halftime and they were able to keep Atlanta off of the scoreboard in the second half for the easy win. The Broncos outgained Atlanta by a total of 400-226, won the turnover battle 1-0, and went 4-13 on third down in the game. Bo Nix threw for 307 yards and four touchdowns, while Javonte Williams rushed for 59 yards and one score in the game.
Prior to that win, the Broncos lost to Kansas City by a score of 16-14 and Baltimore by a score of 41-10. The Denver offense has scored 21.4 points per game with 196.5 passing yards and 116 rushing yards per game, while the defense has allowed 16.6 points per game this season. Bo Nix has completed 65.5% of his passes for 2,275 yards, 14 touchdowns, and six interceptions, while Javonte Williams has rushed for 447 yards and three scores.
Why the Broncos will beat the Raiders
- The Raiders have lost each of their last six games.
- The favorites have won each of the Broncos’ last seven games.
- The Broncos have covered the spread in each of their last five games as favorites.
- The Raiders have failed to cover the spread in four of their last five games as underdogs against AFC opponents.
- The Broncos have won the first half in each of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Broncos have won the first quarter in three of their last four Week 12 games against AFC opponents.
- The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in four of their last five road games.
Total Points Facts
- Each of the last seven games between teams from the same division has gone UNDER the total points line.
- Each of the Raiders’ last seven games as home underdogs following a road loss has gone OVER the total points line.
- Thirteen of the Broncos’ last 15 games in November have gone UNDER the total points line.
Las Vegas Raiders Player Prop Facts
- Michael Mayer has recorded 11+ receiving yards in seven of his last eight appearances following a loss.
- Alexander Mattison has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in four of his last five appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Aidan O’Connell has recorded 227+ passing yards in each of his last four home appearances against AFC opponents.
- Jakobi Meyers has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last five home appearances against division opponents.
- Zamir White has recorded 34+ rushing yards in four of his last five home appearances.
- Gardner Minshew II has thrown two touchdowns in three of his last four Sunday appearances with his team as a home underdog.
- Gardner Minshew II has recorded 24+ completions in each of his three previous appearances following a road loss.
- Heading into Week 12, A.J. Cole ranks 1st amongst qualified players for gross average yards per punt (53.4) this season.
Denver Broncos Player Prop Facts
- Courtland Sutton has scored a touchdown in seven of his last nine appearances against AFC West opponents.
- Jaleel McLaughlin has recorded 19+ rushing yards in each of the Broncos’ last six games as favorites.
- Javonte Williams has recorded 70+ rushing and receiving yards in six of the Broncos’ last seven games following a home win.
- Courtland Sutton has recorded 61+ receiving yards in each of the Broncos’ last five November games.
- Bo Nix has recorded 215+ passing yards in each of the Broncos’ last five Sunday games.
- Bo Nix has recorded 22+ completions in three of the Broncos’ last four games.
- Bo Nix has thrown three or more touchdowns in each of the Broncos’ last two games as favorites.
- Kwon Alexander is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- Heading into Week 12, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in rushing yards per game (75.2) this season.
- Heading into Week 12, the Raiders rank 32nd in the NFL in forced fumbles (1) this season.
- Heading into Week 12, the Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in sacks (39.0) this season.
- Heading into Week 12, the Broncos rank 2nd in the NFL in Q4 opponent points per game (3.5) this season.
Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction
Denver comes into this game with plenty of momentum after blowing out the Falcons, and they have played very well over the last two months. The Broncos have won six of their last nine games and probably should have beaten the Chiefs two weeks ago. Las Vegas has lost six games in a row and their offense is not good. Denver has one of the better defenses in the NFL and I expect the Raiders to score less than 20 points once again, so give me the Broncos to pull away in the second half.