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Las Vegas Raiders vs Denver Broncos Prediction 1-7-24 NFL Picks

Las Vegas Raiders (7-9) vs Denver Broncos (8-8)
2024-01-07 16:25:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Las Vegas Raiders -2.5 -- Over/Under: 37.5
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The Denver Broncos and the Las Vegas Raiders meet Sunday in NFL action from Allegiant Stadium. Denver is 8-8 on the year so far. The Broncos beat the Chargers in their latest outing. As for the Raiders, they’re sitting at 7-9 overall and fresh off a loss to the Colts. Let’s get into our Broncos vs. Raiders prediction. Check back all season long for free NFL picks at Sports Chat Place.

Denver Broncos 

The Broncos have posted a 5-3 run in their eight games since the bye week, taking out the Bills, Vikings, Browns and Chargers (twice) in that time. Denver is now averaging 21.4 points per game this year while allowing 24.1 points on defense. The Broncos are getting a tepid 189.0 yards per game with 27 touchdowns and eight interceptions through the air this season. 

In their latest matchup versus the Chargers, the Broncos were up 13-6 heading into the fourth quarter. Denver managed to hang on with another field goal in an eventual 16-9 win. Jarrett Stidham posted 224 yards with a pass TD, and Jaleel McLaughlin rushed eight times for 44 yards. Lil’Jordan Humphrey led the receivers on two catches for 69 yards and a TD. 

Denver Broncos Team Facts

  • The Broncos have lost 11 of their last 12 road games against AFC West opponents.
  • The Broncos have failed to cover the spread in six of their last seven Sunday games played on the West Coast.
  • The Broncos have won the first quarter in nine of their last 10 Sunday games.
  • The Broncos have won the first half in each of their last five games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Broncos have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games against AFC opponents.

Las Vegas Raiders

Over on the Raiders’ side, they’ve gone 2-2 in their last four games with was over the Chargers and Chiefs sandwiched between losses to the Vikings and Colts. Las Vegas has been decent on defense this year with 19.8 points per game allowed, but they’re only scoring at a 19.1 points per game clip. The Raiders have mustered 18 pass touchdowns and 18 interceptions so far. 

Matched up against the Colts in their latest game, the Raiders gave up points in every quarter on the way to a close 23-20 defeat. Las Vegas’ Aidan O’Connell threw for 299 yards and two touchdowns, while Zamir White led the rushing attack on 71 yards. Davante Adams did most of the receiving work on 13 catches, 126 yards and two TDs. 

Las Vegas Raiders Team Facts

  • The Raiders have won each of their last seven games against the Broncos.
  • The Raiders have covered the spread in each of their last seven home games against the Broncos.
  • The Raiders have lost the first quarter in four of their last five games as favorites against AFC West opponents.
  • The favorites have won the first half in seven of the last eight games between the Broncos and Raiders.
  • The Raiders have scored the first touchdown in each of their last seven games played as favorites on the West Coast.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Raiders rank 30th in the NFL in rushing yards per game this season (88.3).
  • The Raiders rank 3rd in the NFL in average yards per punt this season (50.0).
  • The Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in fumbles recovered this season (15).
  • The Broncos rank 1st in the NFL in average punt return this season (17.2 yards).

ANDREW’S FREE BRONCOS VS RAIDERS PREDICTION 

I’ll probably take a stab on the Raiders here. Las Vegas didn’t play horribly versus the Colts in their last outing, notching 370 total yards (286 passing) and 26 first downs in the close loss. The Raiders haven’t exactly been overwhelming on the scoreboard lately (outside of their crazy win over the Chargers on December 14), with 20 or fewer points in six of their last seven games. Las Vegas got a gritty road win the last time these teams met up in the season opener, taking it 17-16 despite gathering just 261 total yards. 

As for Denver, they’ve been at 17 or fewer points in three of their last five games and could really use an offensive breakout themselves. The Broncos average just over 110 yards on the ground and 189 yards through the air per game this season though, so I don’t think they’ll have the gas to keep up on a cover pace. Should be a pretty fun rivalry game as always, though. 

Andrew's Free Pick: Las Vegas Raiders -2.5

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Andrew

Andrew has been writing about college, professional and fantasy sports betting since 2013. Andrew's goal is to break down the complicated numbers and trends into a language that's easily accessible to novice sports bettors and seasoned professionals alike.

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