Los Angeles Chargers vs Chicago Bears prediction 10-29-23 NFL Picks
Los Angeles Chargers (2-4) vs Chicago Bears (2-5)
2023-10-29 20:20:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Los Angeles Chargers -8.5 -- Over/Under: 48.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Chicago Bears and the Los Angeles Chargers meet in week 8’s installment of Sunday night football from SoFi Stadium.
Bears Get Elusive Home Win
The Chicago Bears come into this one on the heels of a surprising 30-12 win over the Las Vegas Raiders in their last matchup to improve to 2-5 on the year. Justin Fields has thrown for 1,201 yards, 11 touchdowns and 6 interceptions on 61.7% passing while Tyson Bagent has thrown for 245 yards, a touchdown and a pick on 72.1% passing in relief of Fields. Khalil Herbert has a team-high 272 rushing yards while DJ Moore has a team-high 40 receptions for 636 yards and 5 touchdowns this season. Cole Kmet has 240 receiving yards with 3 TDs and Darnell Mooney has 184 receiving yards. On defense, T.J. Edwards has a team-high 72 total tackles while Tremaine Edmunds has 62 total tackles. As a unit, Chicago’s defense has combined for 10 sacks and 6 interceptions this season.
Chicago Bears Team Facts
- The Bears have lost each of their last 10 Sunday road games.
- The Bears have failed to cover the spread in each of their last 10 games against teams that held a losing record.
- The home team has won the first half in each of the Bears’ last seven Week 8 games.
- The Bears have won the first quarter in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- Each of the Bears’ last eight games against AFC opponents have gone OVER the total points line.
Chicago Bears Player Prop Facts
- Darnell Mooney has recorded 35+ receiving yards in eight of the Bears’ last nine October road games.
- Justin Fields has recorded 38+ rushing yards in each of the Bears’ last six October road games.
- D.J. Moore has scored a touchdown in four of his last five appearances against AFC opponents.
- Khalil Herbert has recorded 68+ rushing and receiving yards in 10 of his last 11 October appearances.
- Justin Fields has thrown four touchdowns in two of his last three appearances.
- D.J. Moore ranks T3rd in the NFL in 20+ yard receiving touchdowns (3) this season.
Chargers Drop Back-To-Back Games
The Los Angeles Chargers come into this game off of back-to-back losses following a 31-17 loss to the Chiefs in their last game. Justin Herbert has thrown for 1,592 yards, 10 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 67% passing while Joshua Kelly has a team-high 284 rushing yards with 2 TDs and Austin Ekeler has 189 rushing yards this season. Keenan Allen leads the Chargers with 46 receptions for 574 yards and 4 touchdowns while Joshua Palmer has 353 receiving yards this season. On defense, Kenneth Murray Jr. has a team-high 43 total tackles while Khalil Mack has a team-high 7 sacks and Morgan Fox has 5 sacks as well. Asante Samuel Jr. has a pair of interceptions for the Chargers this season.
Los Angeles Chargers Team Facts
- The Chargers have lost each of their last four October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Chargers have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four October games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- The favorites have won the first half in each of the Chargers’ last five Week 8 games.
- The Chargers have lost the first quarter in each of their last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- The Chargers have scored the first touchdown in each of their last eight games in California.
Los Angeles Chargers Player Prop Facts
- Austin Ekeler has scored the first touchdown in each of his last four appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
- Josh Palmer has recorded 24+ receiving yards in each of his last seven October appearances.
- Austin Ekeler has scored two touchdowns in three of the Chargers’ last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Joshua Kelley has recorded 33+ rushing yards in each of the Chargers’ last five regular season games as favorites.
- Austin Ekeler has scored the last touchdown in four of his last five October appearances with the Chargers as home favorites.
- Austin Ekeler has scored at least one touchdown in each of his last 11 appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
- Austin Ekeler has recorded 83+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last seven October appearances with the Chargers as favorites.
- Justin Herbert has thrown two or more touchdowns in each of the Chargers’ last four October games against NFC opponents.
- Justin Herbert has recorded 30+ completions in three of the Chargers’ last four games as favorites against NFC opponents.
- Eric Kendricks is just one away from 10 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Chargers rank 32nd in the NFL in passing yards allowed per game this season (310.0).
- The Chargers rank 31st in the NFL in yards allowed per game this season (406.8).
- The Bears rank 32nd in the NFL in Q3 opponent points per game this season (7.6).
- The Bears rank 31st in the NFL in sacks this season (10.0).
Chris’ Pick
I’m leaning towards the Bears here. Tyson Bagent looked good in the opener, and I’m still not all that sold on the Chargers right now. Sure, the Chargers have played some tough opposition, but the Chargers are only one loss ahead of the Bears right now and Chicago has to be feeling good right now after their victory over the Raiders at home. I think the Bears can keep this one a one-score affair so give me the Bears and the points here.