Miami Dolphins (11-5) vs Buffalo Bills (10-6)
2024-01-07 20:20:00 EDT
The Line: Betting Odds: Miami Dolphins +3 -- Over/Under: 49.5
(Get latest betting odds)
The Buffalo Bills will play the Miami Dolphins on Sunday Night Football at Hard Rock Stadium in Miami Gardens, Florida. Buffalo has won four games in a row, while Miami has won two of their last three. Let’s take a look at the betting matchup and the Bills vs Dolphins prediction.
Bills Preview
The Buffalo Bills are 10-6 this season after they defeated the Patriots by a score of 27-21 in their last game. Buffalo trailed 7-0 after New England returned the opening kickoff, but they scored the next 20 points and were able to hang on for the win. The Bills were out gained by a total of 294-281 and forced four turnovers in the game. Buffalo has also defeated the Chargers, Cowboys, and Chiefs during this four game winning streak. The Buffalo offense is scoring 26.9 points per game with 238.1 passing yards per game and 130.3 rushing yards per game. Josh Allen has thrown for 3,947 yards, 27 touchdowns, and 16 interceptions for the Bills this season. James Cook has rushed for 1,086 yards and two touchdowns, while Stefon Diggs has caught 100 passes for 1,096 yards and eight scores. The Buffalo defense is allowing 18.6 points against per game this season.
Dolphins Preview
The Miami Dolphins are 11-5 this year after they lost to Baltimore by a score of 56-19 in their last game. Miami led 10-7 after the first quarter and only trailed 14-13 with 3:10 left in the second quarter, but it was all Baltimore after that in the blowout loss. The Dolphins were out gained by a total of 491-375 and turned the ball over three times in the game. Miami defeated the Cowboys by a score of 22-20 and the Jets by a score of 30-0 in the two games prior to Baltimore. The Miami offense is averaging 30.1 points per game with 271.7 passing yards per game and 137.5 rushing yards per game. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 4,451 yards, 28 touchdowns, and 12 interceptions for the Dolphins this season. Raheem Mostert (questionable) has rushed for 1,012 yards and 18 scores, while Tyreek Hill has caught 112 passes for 1,717 yards and 12 touchdowns. The Miami defense is giving up 23.1 points against per game this year.
Miami Dolphins Team Facts
The Dolphins have won each of their last eight Sunday home games.
The Dolphins have covered the spread in eight of their last nine games against AFC East opponents.
The Dolphins have scored the first touchdown in six of their last seven games.
The Dolphins have won the first quarter in each of their last four games against AFC opponents.
The Dolphins have won the first half in each of their last seven Sunday home games.
Buffalo Bills Team Facts
The Bills have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Dolphins.
The Bills have failed to cover the spread in each of their last four road games following a home win.
The Bills have won the first half in each of their last five Sunday games.
The Bills have scored the first touchdown in 10 of their last 11 games against the Dolphins.
The Bills have lost the first quarter in three of their last four games as road favorites against AFC opponents.
Miami Dolphins Player Prop Facts
Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 261+ passing yards in 10 of his last 11 Sunday appearances at Hard Rock Stadium.
Tyreek Hill has recorded 99+ receiving yards in each of his last six Sunday appearances at Hard Rock Stadium.
Raheem Mostert has recorded 61+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last three January appearances.
Raheem Mostert has scored at least one touchdown in seven of the Dolphins’ last eight home games.
Raheem Mostert has recorded 46+ rushing yards in eight of the Dolphins’ last nine home games.
Tua Tagovailoa has recorded 23+ completions in four of the Dolphins’ last five games at Hard Rock Stadium.
Tua Tagovailoa has thrown two or more touchdowns in four of the Dolphins’ last five games following a loss.
Tyreek Hill ranks 1st in the NFL in receiving yards (1717) this season.
Buffalo Bills Player Prop Facts
Leonard Fournette has recorded 108+ rushing and receiving yards in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against AFC East opponents.
Josh Allen has scored at least one touchdown in each of the Bills’ last eight games as favorites following a win.
Josh Allen has recorded 32+ rushing yards in 10 of the Bills’ last 11 Sunday regular season road games.
Josh Allen has recorded 254+ passing yards in each of the Bills’ last five January games against AFC opponents.
Gabriel Davis has recorded 37+ receiving yards in each of the Bills’ last four games against the Dolphins.
Josh Allen has recorded 22+ completions in five of the Bills’ last six road games against AFC opponents.
Josh Allen has thrown three or more touchdowns in four of the Bills’ last five January games against AFC East opponents.
Rasul Douglas is just one away from 20 career interceptions.
Matchup/League Facts
The Dolphins rank 1st in the NFL in passing yards per game this season (271.7).
The Dolphins rank 32nd in the NFL in total punt yards this season (2185).
The Bills rank T1st in the NFL in Q3 win percentage this season (62.5).
The Bills are one of only two teams in the NFL to rank top 5 for both interceptions and sacks this season.
Bills vs Dolphins Betting Prediction
This is a massive game in the playoff race, as the winner of this matchup will be the AFC East Champion. Miami will have the home field advantage, where they are 7-1 this season, but they are coming off of a blowout loss on the road against Baltimore last week. Buffalo has won four games in a row, but they are only 3-4 on the road this season. The Bills forced a bunch of turnovers against New England last week, but the game was still much closer than it should have been. Buffalo also struggled the week prior, where they only won by two points against the Chargers. This should be a fun game to watch and I think either team could win, so I am going to take the points with Miami.
