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Miami Dolphins vs Cleveland Browns 11/13/22 NFL Picks, Predictions, Odds

Cleveland Browns (3-5) vs. Miami Dolphins (6-3)
November 13, 2022 1:00 pm EDT
The Line: Miami Dolphins -4 / Cleveland Browns +4; Over/Under: +47
(Get latest betting odds)

The Miami Dolphins and Cleveland Browns clash Sunday in a week 10 NFL matchup from Hard Rock Stadium.

The Cleveland Browns will be looking to build some momentum after entering their bye week last week with a record of 3-5 after their 32-13 win over Cincinnati. Jacoby Brissett has thrown for 1,862 yards, 7 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 63.9% passing while Nick Chubb has a team-high 841 rushing yards with 10 touchdowns and Kareem Hunt also has 305 rushing yards as well this season. Amari Cooper has a team-high 553 receiving yards coming on 39 catches with 5 touchdowns while David Njoku has 418 receiving yards and Donovan Peoples-Jones has 417 receiving yards as well on the year. On defense, Grant Delpit has a team-high 48 total tackles while Myles Garrett has 7.5 sacks this season.

The Miami Dolphins will try to keep the ball rolling, winning 3 straight after a 35-32 win over Chicago to improve to 6-3 on the year. Tua Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,980 yards, 15 touchdowns and 3 interceptions on 69.9% passing while Raheem Mostert has a team-high 478 rushing yards this season. Tyreek Hill leads Miami’s receiving group with 76 grabs for 1,104 receiving yards and 3 touchdowns while Jaylen Waddle has 47 catches for 812 receiving yards and a team-high 6 touchdowns. Mike Gesicki also has 238 receiving yards and 4 scores this season. On defense, Elandon Roberts has a team-high 54 total tackles while Jaelan Phillips and Melvin Ingram each have a team-high 3 sacks so far this season.

Cleveland is 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a win and 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games following a win by 14 or more points while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 Sunday games after a Monday nighter, Miami is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 home games and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 home games.

I get the case to be made for the Browns on the road in this game, as the Browns can run the ball with conviction and do damage against pretty much anyone. However, the Dolphins’ defense is best at stopping the run more than anything else within that unit and at home, you just don’t mess with Tua Tagovailoa as the dude’s been pretty much money ATS over the course of his career so far. I just think this is a game the Dolphins win by a touchdown, so I’ll lay it and play it with the Dolphins here.

Chris Ruffolo's Free Pick: Miami -4

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Chris Ruffolo

Chris joined the Sports Chat Place team in August 2016 and has a proven system that combines multiple analytical and situational statistics and trends to give out thousands of winning picks over the last three years with winning records across all of the top leagues, Follow Chris Ruffolo on Twitter @ruffthepickdawg

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